Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan.
What's at stake. Madura United are 4th on 9 points after 4 games, level on points with Bali United, 1 point clear of Persita. A win would take them above Bali United. Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC are 10th on 6 points after 4 games, level on points with Arema FC, level on points with Pusamania Borneo. A win would take them above Arema FC.
Form. Madura United have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W.
The numbers. Madura United score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Madura United average 9.2 shots (4.7 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC average 12.6 shots (5.6 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Madura United have won one, drawn two and lost five. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, two were drawn and Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC won two. The last time they met, on 11 May 2026, it finished Madura United 1-3 Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Madura United are the form side, but the meetings favour Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC: in the last eight meetings, Madura United won one, Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC won five and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Madura United 2-1 Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).