Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC
Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Centreville Bank Stadium.
What's at stake. Rhode Island FC are 7th on 38 points after 27 games, 1 point behind Hartford Athletic, 2 points clear of Miami FC. A win would take them above Hartford Athletic. Loudoun United FC are 10th on 27 points after 27 games, 7 points behind Indy Eleven, 4 points clear of Birmingham Legion. Loudoun United FC have nothing left to play for, while Rhode Island FC need the win.
Form. Rhode Island FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition Rhode Island FC have gone L W W L L W. Loudoun United FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. In this competition Loudoun United FC have gone W D W L L L.
The numbers. Rhode Island FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Rhode Island FC average 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Loudoun United FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Loudoun United FC average 4.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Rhode Island FC have won one, drawn three and lost one. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Rhode Island FC won one, two were drawn and Loudoun United FC won one. The last time they met, on 13 Jun 2026, it finished Rhode Island FC 4-1 Loudoun United FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 65% against the records' 39%.
The read. No firm call: Rhode Island FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Rhode Island FC the likelier winners; Rhode Island FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.50, 73% on the records (Rhode Island FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Loudoun United FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away). The safer one: Loudoun United FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.30 (76%). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Rhode Island FC 1-1 Loudoun United FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).