Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Trinity Health Stadium.
What's at stake. Hartford Athletic are 6th on 39 points after 27 games, 1 point behind Louisville City, 1 point clear of Rhode Island. A win would take them above Louisville City. Charleston Battery are 3rd on 46 points after 27 games, 4 points behind Detroit City, 5 points clear of Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
Form. Hartford Athletic have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. In this competition Hartford Athletic have gone L D D W W D. Charleston Battery have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. In this competition Charleston Battery have gone L W W D L W.
The numbers. Hartford Athletic score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Hartford Athletic average 4.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Charleston Battery score two and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Charleston Battery average 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Hartford Athletic have won three, drawn one and lost six. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Hartford Athletic won one, one was drawn and Charleston Battery won two. The last time they met, on 2 Sep 2026, it finished Hartford Athletic 2-1 Charleston Battery.
The case against. Hartford Athletic's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Charleston Battery to win. An open game. Charleston Battery are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Charleston Battery. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Charleston Battery 1UP at 1.57, 70% on the records (Charleston Battery scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4; led in 8 of 10). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20 (76%). Leave: Charleston Battery or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Hartford Athletic 1-2 Charleston Battery (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).