FF Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn
Match details. Veikkausliiga, Relegation Group - 27. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Jakobstads Centralplan (Pietarsaaren Keskuskenttä), Jacobstad.
What's at stake. FF Jaro are 5th on 20 points after 26 games, 7 points behind SJK, 2 points clear of Mariehamn. IFK Mariehamn are 6th on 18 points after 26 games, 2 points behind FF Jaro. A win would take them above FF Jaro. It is played over two legs.
Form. FF Jaro have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L. In this competition FF Jaro have gone W D D L L L. IFK Mariehamn have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. In this competition IFK Mariehamn have gone D L W L W W.
The numbers. FF Jaro score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. FF Jaro average 13.0 shots (3.2 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. IFK Mariehamn score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. IFK Mariehamn average 12.7 shots (3.5 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FF Jaro have won three, drawn three and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FF Jaro won one, one was drawn and IFK Mariehamn won two. The last time they met, on 31 Aug 2026, it finished FF Jaro 0-2 IFK Mariehamn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.38, 86% on the records (FF Jaro: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; IFK Mariehamn: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: IFK Mariehamn or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); IFK Mariehamn or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); IFK Mariehamn win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: FF Jaro 1-1 IFK Mariehamn (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).