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SPAIN - LALIGA 2
Las Palmas crestLPLAS
20:00Sat 17 Oct
CDCCD Castellon crestCC

Las Palmas vs CD Castellon

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria. The referee is German Cid Camacho.

What's at stake. Las Palmas are 16th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Eldense, level on points with Leganes. A win would take them above Eldense. CD Castellon are 3rd on 20 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Eibar, 3 points clear of Mallorca. A win would take them above Eibar.

Form. Las Palmas have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Las Palmas have gone L D L L W D. CD Castellon have won six, drawn two and lost one of their last nine, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. In this competition CD Castellon have gone L D W W W W.

The numbers. Las Palmas score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets. Las Palmas average 9.6 shots (3.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. CD Castellon score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CD Castellon average 14.8 shots (4.9 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Las Palmas have won two, drawn one and lost two. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Las Palmas won one, one was drawn and CD Castellon won two. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Las Palmas 1-1 CD Castellon: Las Palmas had 10 shots to 15, 44% of the ball, five yellow cards.

The case against. Las Palmas's record still gives them 29% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%. Not everything agrees on goals: three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The read. CD Castellon to win. An open game. CD Castellon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Castellon.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Las Palmas Under 1.5 goals (Las Palmas's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); CD Castellon or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (CD Castellon are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Las Palmas 1-2 CD Castellon (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Castellon or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 7 of 9 (78%)92%
CD Castellon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Las Palmas: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 5 · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Las Palmas's level · Las Palmas: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level
CD Castellon win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.16
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 6 of 9 (67%)87.3%
CD Castellon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Las Palmas: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 5 · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Las Palmas's level · Las Palmas: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level
CD Castellon or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 6 of 9 (67%)77.9%
CD Castellon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Las Palmas: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 3 of 5 · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Las Palmas's level · Las Palmas: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level
Double Chance: Draw or CD CastellonPAGE ONLY
1.30
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 6 of 9 (67%)75.3%
CD Castellon unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Las Palmas failed to win 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 5 · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Las Palmas's level · Las Palmas: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level
CD Castellon (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 4 of 7 (57%)68.2%
CD Castellon won 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · Las Palmas lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 2 of 4 · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Las Palmas's level · Las Palmas: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 2
CD Castellon to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.05
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 4 of 9 (44%)61.5%
CD Castellon won 4 of 5 away · Las Palmas lost 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 2 of 5 · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Las Palmas's level · Las Palmas: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.20
LAS 7 of 9 (78%) · CDC 3 of 5 (60%)87%
Las Palmas: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Castellon: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 5 · Las Palmas: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Las Palmas's level
CD CASTELLON GOALS
CD Castellon Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.17
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · CDC 6 of 9 (67%)86.2%
CD Castellon scored in 4 of 5 away · Las Palmas conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 5 · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Las Palmas's level · Las Palmas: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.18
LAS 8 of 9 (89%) · CDC 3 of 5 (60%)81.7%
Las Palmas: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Castellon: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 5 · on half-time scores · Las Palmas: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Las Palmas's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.30
LAS 7 of 9 (78%) · CDC 5 of 5 (100%)69%
Las Palmas: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Castellon: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 2 of 5 · on half-time scores · Las Palmas: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Las Palmas's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES
1.19
LAS 7 of 8 (88%) · CDC 6 of 8 (75%)81.3%
Las Palmas's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Castellon's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Las Palmas: only games against sides at CD Castellon's level · CD Castellon: only games against sides at Las Palmas's level
Left off the list: Las Palmas Under 1.5 goals (Las Palmas's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); CD Castellon or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (46%) and the records (54%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (CD Castellon are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (CD Castellon are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.1%
Las Palmas goals →
CD Castellon goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 9
LAS PALMASWWLDWLLDL1.22 PPG
CD CASTELLONWDWWWWWDL2.22 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LAS PALMAS HOMExCD CASTELLON AWAY
1.44SCORED A GAME1.671.78CONCEDED A GAME0.4433%CLEAN SHEETS56%11%FAILED TO SCORE22%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.003.12CARDS A GAME1.750.99xG2.051.17xG AGAINST1.52
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.71POINTS A GAME2.29-0.86GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.43-2.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.60.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES7
CD Castellon: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
CD CASTELLON 0:2 HANDICAP
–
54 OF 60
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 85/90
LAS PALMAS OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
CD CASTELLON OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LAS PALMASxCD CASTELLON
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.002.00CONCEDED A GAME0.603.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%5.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.210.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5
LAS PALMAS 2 · 40%DRAW 1CD CASTELLON 2 · 40%
2 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-12-17Las Palmas 2 – 0 CD Castellon
2020-10-21Las Palmas 2 – 1 CD Castellon
2021-02-27Las Palmas 0 – 4 CD Castellon
2025-11-30Las Palmas 0 – 1 CD Castellon
2026-02-21Las Palmas 1 – 1 CD Castellon
TRENDS
Las Palmas have scored in 90% of their games.
CD Castellon have scored in 80% of their games.
Las Palmas failed to score in 11% of their games.
CD Castellon failed to score in 22% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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