Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig
Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Allianz Arena, Munich. The referee is Tobias Stieler.
What's at stake. Bayern Munich are 3rd on 11 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Borussia Dortmund, 1 point clear of Bayer Leverkusen. A win would take them above Borussia Dortmund. RB Leipzig are 5th on 9 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Bayer Leverkusen, 1 point clear of FC Augsburg. A win would take them above Bayer Leverkusen.
Team news. Bayern Munich are without T. Buchmann (knee injury), J. Musiala (muscle injury), M. Neuer (foot injury), T. Buchmann (knee injury), J. Musiala (muscle injury), M. Neuer (foot injury). RB Leipzig are without C. Baumgartner (thigh injury), M. Guiu (hamstring injury), A. Ouedraogo (shoulder injury), C. Baumgartner (thigh injury), M. Guiu (hamstring injury), A. Ouedraogo (shoulder injury).
Form. Bayern Munich have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. RB Leipzig have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.
The numbers. Bayern Munich score 3.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Bayern Munich average 20.5 shots (8.8 on target), 8.4 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 70% of the ball. RB Leipzig score 1.7 and concede 2.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. RB Leipzig average 15.7 shots (6.7 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Bayern Munich have won five, drawn two and lost two. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Bayern Munich won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 11 Feb 2026, it finished Bayern Munich 2-0 RB Leipzig: Bayern Munich had 12 shots to 7, 59% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The read. Bayern Munich to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bayern Munich the likelier winners; Bayern Munich are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bayern Munich; the meetings favour Bayern Munich. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%. Eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Bayern Munich (Draw No Bet) at 1.10, 87% on the records (Bayern Munich won 7 of 7 (draws left out); RB Leipzig lost 3 of 6 (draws left out)). Backup: 2nd Half - Bayern Munich Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Bayern Munich Over 0.5 Goals (RB Leipzig's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Bayern Munich Over 1.5 goals (RB Leipzig's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); RB Leipzig Under 1.5 goals (RB Leipzig's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Bayern Munich 2-1 RB Leipzig (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).