Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 away · Fenerbahce Istanbul conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 3 of 6 · Alanyaspor: only games against sides at Fenerbahce Istanbul's level · Fenerbahce Istanbul: only games against sides at Alanyaspor's level
Match details. Super Lig, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul. The referee is C. Altay.
What's at stake. Fenerbahce Istanbul are 4th on 13 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Amed, level on points with Trabzonspor. A win would take them above Amed. Alanyaspor are 7th on 12 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Çorum FK, level on points with Kocaelispor. A win would take them above Çorum FK.
Team news. Fenerbahce Istanbul are without M. Muldur (knee injury), J. Oosterwolde (achilles tendon injury), M. Muldur (knee injury), J. Oosterwolde (achilles tendon injury). Alanyaspor are without Maestro (thigh injury), Maestro (thigh injury).
Form. Fenerbahce Istanbul have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. Alanyaspor have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L.
The numbers. Fenerbahce Istanbul score three and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Fenerbahce Istanbul average 14.1 shots (6.3 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Alanyaspor score one and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Alanyaspor average 8.8 shots (3.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Fenerbahce Istanbul have won seven, drawn two and lost none. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Fenerbahce Istanbul won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2026, it finished Fenerbahce Istanbul 3-2 Alanyaspor: Fenerbahce Istanbul had 12 shots to 9, 55% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Fenerbahce Istanbul are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fenerbahce Istanbul the likelier winners; Fenerbahce Istanbul are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fenerbahce Istanbul; the meetings favour Fenerbahce Istanbul. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 81% on the records (Fenerbahce Istanbul: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6; Alanyaspor: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away). The safer one: Alanyaspor Under 1.5 Goals at 1.17 (82%). Full cover: Alanyaspor Under 1.5 Goals at 1.17. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Fenerbahce Istanbul Over 1.5 goals (Alanyaspor's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Fenerbahce Istanbul are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Fenerbahce Istanbul are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Fenerbahce Istanbul 2-1 Alanyaspor (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).