Viking FK vs Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Viking FK conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Fredrikstad FK: only games against sides at Viking FK's level · Viking FK: only games against sides at Fredrikstad FK's level
Match details. Eliteserien, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger. The referee is Marius Hansen Grotta.
What's at stake. Viking FK are 1st on 53 points after 22 games, level on points with Bodo/Glimt. Fredrikstad FK are 8th on 29 points after 22 games, level on points with Brann, 1 point clear of Sarpsborg 08 FF. A win would take them above Brann.
Team news. Viking FK are without K. Askildsen (red card), A. Baertelsen (foot injury), V. Berisha (thigh injury), S. Bjorshol (knee injury), N. D'Agostino (leg injury), M. Roseth (knee injury). Fredrikstad FK are without S. Kvile (knee injury), M. Nilsson (yellow cards), J. Nysveen (injury), S. Kvile (knee injury), M. Nilsson (yellow cards), J. Nysveen (injury).
Form. Viking FK have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Viking FK have gone W W W D W L. Fredrikstad FK have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L W. In this competition Fredrikstad FK have gone D D D L W W.
The numbers. Viking FK score 2.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Viking FK average 16.5 shots (6.5 on target), 7.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Fredrikstad FK score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Fredrikstad FK average 13.5 shots (4.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Viking FK have won four, drawn one and lost one. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Viking FK won three and Fredrikstad FK won one. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Viking FK 2-1 Fredrikstad FK: Viking FK had 16 shots to 12, 58% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 77% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: Viking FK are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Viking FK the likelier winners; Viking FK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Viking FK; the meetings favour Viking FK. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 80% on the records (Viking FK: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; Fredrikstad FK: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Full cover: Fredrikstad FK Under 1.5 Goals at 1.26. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Viking FK or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (Viking FK are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Viking FK are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Viking FK 2-1 Fredrikstad FK (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).