NSNEO

16:40Sat 17 Oct

ALE

Neom SC vs Al-Ettifaq FC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 16:40 Lagos time. It is played at King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabuk.

What's at stake. Neom SC are 5th on 16 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Al-Ittihad FC, 1 point clear of Al-Ahli Jeddah. A win would take them above Al-Ittihad FC. Al-Ettifaq FC are 7th on 12 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Al-Ahli Jeddah, level on points with Al Kholood. A win would take them level on points with Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Form. Neom SC have won five, drawn one and lost two of their last eight, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. In this competition Neom SC have gone D W W W L L. Al-Ettifaq FC have won three, drawn three and lost two of their last eight, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L. In this competition Al-Ettifaq FC have gone D D D W L L.

The numbers. Neom SC score 1.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Neom SC average 13.2 shots (4.2 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Al-Ettifaq FC score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al-Ettifaq FC average 15.5 shots (5.8 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Neom SC have won none, drawn two and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 21 May 2026, it finished Neom SC 1-1 Al-Ettifaq FC: Neom SC had 14 shots to 9, 62% of the ball, one yellow card.

The case against. Al-Ettifaq FC's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Neom SC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Neom SC the likelier winners; Neom SC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Neom SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Neom SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Neom SC 1-0 Al-Ettifaq FC (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Neom SC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

NEO 8 of 8 (100%) · ALE 6 of 8 (75%)85.9%

Neom SC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Ettifaq FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Ettifaq FC's level · Al-Ettifaq FC: only games against sides at Neom SC's level

Neom SC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

1.12

NEO 6 of 8 (75%) · ALE 5 of 8 (62%)74.2%

Neom SC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Ettifaq FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Ettifaq FC's level · Al-Ettifaq FC: only games against sides at Neom SC's level

Neom SC (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.41

NEO 5 of 7 (71%) · ALE 2 of 5 (40%)73.5%

Neom SC won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Al-Ettifaq FC lost 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 56% · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Ettifaq FC's level · Al-Ettifaq FC: only games against sides at Neom SC's level · won 3, refunded 1, lost 3

Neom SC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.88

NEO 5 of 8 (62%) · ALE 2 of 8 (25%)54.5%

Neom SC won 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Ettifaq FC lost 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Ettifaq FC's level · Al-Ettifaq FC: only games against sides at Neom SC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.58

NEO 3 of 8 (38%) · ALE 4 of 8 (50%)51.1%

Neom SC: both scored in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Ettifaq FC: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Ettifaq FC's level · Al-Ettifaq FC: only games against sides at Neom SC's level

NEOM SC GOALS

Neom SC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.12

NEO 6 of 8 (75%) · ALE 5 of 8 (62%)80.1%

Neom SC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Ettifaq FC conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Ettifaq FC's level · Al-Ettifaq FC: only games against sides at Neom SC's level

AL-ETTIFAQ FC GOALS

Al-Ettifaq FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.43

NEO 5 of 8 (62%) · ALE 6 of 8 (75%)63.3%

Al-Ettifaq FC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Neom SC conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Al-Ettifaq FC: only games against sides at Neom SC's level · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Ettifaq FC's level

Al-Ettifaq FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.35

NEO 6 of 8 (75%) · ALE 5 of 8 (62%)59.6%

Al-Ettifaq FC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Neom SC conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Al-Ettifaq FC: only games against sides at Neom SC's level · Neom SC: only games against sides at Al-Ettifaq FC's level

Left off the list: Neom SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Neom SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.8%

Neom SC goals →

Al-Ettifaq FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 8

NEOM SCWWLLWWWD2.00 PPG

AL-ETTIFAQ FCWWLLWDDD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NEOM SC HOMExAL-ETTIFAQ FC AWAY

1.75SCORED A GAME1.500.88CONCEDED A GAME1.5038%CLEAN SHEETS38%25%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.62CORNERS A GAME6.251.38CARDS A GAME1.881.27xG1.301.05xG AGAINST1.54

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.86POINTS A GAME1.50+0.86GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-0.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.52.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.27LEAGUE GAMES8

Neom SC: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

35%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 85/90

NEOM SC OR DRAW

53%

NO · 80/85

AL-ETTIFAQ FC OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NEOM SCxAL-ETTIFAQ FC

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.09.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

NEOM SC 0 · 0%DRAW 2AL-ETTIFAQ FC 0 · 0%

2026-01-21Neom SC 0 – 0 Al-Ettifaq FC

2026-05-21Neom SC 1 – 1 Al-Ettifaq FC

TRENDS

Neom SC failed to score in 25% of their games.

Al-Ettifaq FC failed to score in 25% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards