KFKIL

15:00Sat 17 Oct

MOT

Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.

What's at stake. Kilmarnock FC are 12th on 5 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Falkirk. A win would take them above Falkirk. Motherwell FC are 9th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Aberdeen, 1 point clear of Hibernian. A win would take them above Aberdeen.

Team news. M. Stryjek is their first-choice keeper. Kilmarnock FC's line-up is confirmed. Motherwell FC's line-up is confirmed.

Form. Kilmarnock FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D. Motherwell FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.

The numbers. Kilmarnock FC score one and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kilmarnock FC average 8.9 shots (4.5 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Motherwell FC score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Motherwell FC average 10.2 shots (3.7 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Kilmarnock FC have won two, drawn four and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Motherwell FC won three. The last time they met, on 24 Jan 2026, it finished Kilmarnock FC 0-4 Motherwell FC: Kilmarnock FC had 7 shots to 22, 27% of the ball, two yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Kilmarnock FC's record still gives them 34% to win.

The read. Motherwell FC to win. A draw is live. Motherwell FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Motherwell FC.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Motherwell FC Over 0.5 goals (Motherwell FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Kilmarnock FC 0-1 Motherwell FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Motherwell FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KIL 5 of 6 (83%) · MOT 6 of 8 (75%)77.6%

Motherwell FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kilmarnock FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · Motherwell FC: only games against sides at Kilmarnock FC's level · Kilmarnock FC: only games against sides at Motherwell FC's level

Motherwell FC win or both teams scoreLEANHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

KIL 3 of 6 (50%) · MOT 6 of 8 (75%)63%

Motherwell FC: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kilmarnock FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 4 of 6 · Motherwell FC: only games against sides at Kilmarnock FC's level · Kilmarnock FC: only games against sides at Motherwell FC's level

Motherwell FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.32

KIL 4 of 6 (67%) · MOT 5 of 8 (62%)57.5%

Motherwell FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kilmarnock FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · Motherwell FC: only games against sides at Kilmarnock FC's level · Kilmarnock FC: only games against sides at Motherwell FC's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

KIL 6 of 8 (75%) · MOT 5 of 6 (83%)81.3%

Kilmarnock FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Motherwell FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 6 of 6 · Kilmarnock FC: only games against sides at Motherwell FC's level · Motherwell FC: only games against sides at Kilmarnock FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.19

KIL 5 of 8 (62%) · MOT 5 of 6 (83%)68.3%

Kilmarnock FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Motherwell FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 5 of 6 · Kilmarnock FC: only games against sides at Motherwell FC's level · Motherwell FC: only games against sides at Kilmarnock FC's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

KIL 7 of 8 (88%) · MOT 6 of 6 (100%)87%

Kilmarnock FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Motherwell FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Kilmarnock FC: only games against sides at Motherwell FC's level · Motherwell FC: only games against sides at Kilmarnock FC's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.28

KIL 7 of 8 (88%) · MOT 4 of 6 (67%)78.6%

Kilmarnock FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Motherwell FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Kilmarnock FC: only games against sides at Motherwell FC's level · Motherwell FC: only games against sides at Kilmarnock FC's level

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

KIL 5 of 8 (62%) · MOT 4 of 6 (67%)73.4%

Kilmarnock FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Motherwell FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Kilmarnock FC: only games against sides at Motherwell FC's level · Motherwell FC: only games against sides at Kilmarnock FC's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.60

KIL 4 of 8 (50%) · MOT 4 of 6 (67%)56.3%

Kilmarnock FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Motherwell FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Kilmarnock FC: only games against sides at Motherwell FC's level · Motherwell FC: only games against sides at Kilmarnock FC's level

Left off the list: Motherwell FC Over 0.5 goals (Motherwell FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.7%

Kilmarnock FC goals →

Motherwell FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

KILMARNOCK FCLLWLLDDWDL0.90 PPG

MOTHERWELL FCWDLLDWLLLL0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KILMARNOCK FC HOMExMOTHERWELL FC AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.102.10CONCEDED A GAME1.9020%CLEAN SHEETS30%38%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.80CORNERS A GAME4.782.40CARDS A GAME1.670.94xG1.352.21xG AGAINST1.75

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.62POINTS A GAME1.00-1.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50-2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.01.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.68LEAGUE GAMES8

Motherwell FC: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

KILMARNOCK FC OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

MOTHERWELL FC OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

KILMARNOCK FCxMOTHERWELL FC

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.801.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE20%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.412.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

KILMARNOCK FC 2 · 22%DRAW 4MOTHERWELL FC 3 · 33%

4 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-11-04Kilmarnock FC 1 – 0 Motherwell FC

2024-02-03Kilmarnock FC 1 – 1 Motherwell FC

2024-12-20Kilmarnock FC 1 – 1 Motherwell FC

2025-01-08Kilmarnock FC 0 – 0 Motherwell FC

2025-04-05Kilmarnock FC 2 – 0 Motherwell FC

2025-05-14Kilmarnock FC 0 – 3 Motherwell FC

2025-08-30Kilmarnock FC 2 – 2 Motherwell FC

2025-11-22Kilmarnock FC 1 – 3 Motherwell FC

TRENDS

Kilmarnock FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Motherwell FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Kilmarnock FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Motherwell FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards