Aberdeen vs St Mirren FC
Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen.
What's at stake. Aberdeen are 8th on 8 points after 8 games, 2 points behind ST Mirren, level on points with Motherwell. A win would take them above ST Mirren. St Mirren FC are 7th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Dundee Utd, 2 points clear of Aberdeen. A win would take them above Dundee Utd.
Team news. Aberdeen's line-up is confirmed. Samu is their main creator. Henry Fieldson is their centre-back. St Mirren FC's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Aberdeen have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D. St Mirren FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. Aberdeen score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Aberdeen average 10.0 shots (3.5 on target), 6.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. St Mirren FC score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. St Mirren FC average 10.0 shots (3.4 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Aberdeen have won two, drawn one and lost seven. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Aberdeen won one, one was drawn and St Mirren FC won two. The last time they met, on 12 May 2026, it finished Aberdeen 0-2 St Mirren FC: Aberdeen had 8 shots to 9, 58% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. St Mirren FC's record still gives them 50% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Aberdeen or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Both teams' records favour St Mirren FC; the meetings favour St Mirren FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.44, 75% on the records (Aberdeen: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; St Mirren FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Aberdeen 1-1 St Mirren FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).