SESVE

14:30Sat 17 Oct

AUG

AUG

SV 07 Elversberg vs Augsburg

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg. The referee is Florian Exner.

What's at stake. SV 07 Elversberg are 10th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with FSV Mainz 05, level on points with 1. FC Köln. A win would take them above FSV Mainz 05. Augsburg are 6th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind RB Leipzig, level on points with Werder Bremen. A win would take them above RB Leipzig.

Team news. SV 07 Elversberg are without C. Campbell (ankle injury), L. Seifert (ankle injury), J. Gyamerah (groin injury), F. Onyeka (foot injury), C. Campbell (ankle injury), L. Seifert (ankle injury). Augsburg are without N. Banks (knee injury), A. Claude-Maurice (muscle injury), S. Mounie (injury), S. Suso (inactive), N. Banks (knee injury), A. Claude-Maurice (muscle injury).

Form. SV 07 Elversberg have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. Augsburg have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W.

The numbers. SV 07 Elversberg score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. SV 07 Elversberg average 9.6 shots (4.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Augsburg score 2.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. Augsburg average 13.6 shots (6.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 38% of the ball.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Augsburg or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Augsburg (no result call); Over/Under & GG/NG: Over 2.5 & Yes (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: SV 07 Elversberg 2-1 Augsburg (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

SVE 3 of 5 (60%) · AUG 5 of 5 (100%)82.6%

SV 07 Elversberg: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Augsburg: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Augsburg's level · Augsburg: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

SVE 3 of 5 (60%) · AUG 5 of 5 (100%)57.8%

SV 07 Elversberg: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Augsburg: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Augsburg's level · Augsburg: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.42

SVE 3 of 5 (60%) · AUG 4 of 5 (80%)61.2%

SV 07 Elversberg: both scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Augsburg: both scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Augsburg's level · Augsburg: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level

SV 07 ELVERSBERG GOALS

SV 07 Elversberg Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.19

SVE 3 of 5 (60%) · AUG 4 of 5 (80%)75.5%

SV 07 Elversberg scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Augsburg conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Augsburg's level · Augsburg: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level

AUGSBURG GOALS

Augsburg Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.21

SVE 5 of 5 (100%) · AUG 4 of 5 (80%)80.4%

Augsburg scored in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · SV 07 Elversberg conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Augsburg: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Augsburg's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.15

SVE 4 of 5 (80%) · AUG 5 of 5 (100%)90%

SV 07 Elversberg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Augsburg: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · SV 07 Elversberg: only games against sides at Augsburg's level · Augsburg: only games against sides at SV 07 Elversberg's level

Left off the list: Augsburg or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Augsburg (no result call); Over/Under & GG/NG: Over 2.5 & Yes (the numbers (44%) and the records (70%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Augsburg or draw and over 1.5 goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Augsburg or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Augsburg win or both teams score (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.5%

SV 07 Elversberg goals →

Augsburg goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 5

SV 07 ELVERSBERGWWLDL1.40 PPG

AUGSBURGWWDLD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SV 07 ELVERSBERG HOMExAUGSBURG AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME2.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.6020%CLEAN SHEETS20%40%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.60CORNERS A GAME4.801.80CARDS A GAME1.601.16xG1.911.93xG AGAINST2.97

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.40POINTS A GAME1.60+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00-5.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.65LEAGUE GAMES5

Augsburg: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 85/90

SV 07 ELVERSBERG OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

AUGSBURG OR DRAW

49%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SV 07 ELVERSBERGxAUGSBURG

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.603.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%60%BOTH SCORE80%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

SV 07 ELVERSBERG

Out: C. Campbell (Ankle Injury), L. Seifert (Ankle Injury), J. Gyamerah (Groin Injury), F. Onyeka (Foot Injury), C. Campbell (Ankle Injury), L. Seifert (Ankle Injury)

AUGSBURG

Out: N. Banks (Knee Injury), A. Claude-Maurice (Muscle Injury), S. Mounie (Injury), S. Suso (Inactive), N. Banks (Knee Injury), A. Claude-Maurice (Muscle Injury)

TRENDS

SV 07 Elversberg have scored in 80% of their games.

Augsburg have scored in 90% of their games.

SV 07 Elversberg failed to score in 40% of their games.

Augsburg failed to score in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAleague tableteam newscornerscards