Erzurumspor FK vs Eyupspor
Match details. Erzurumspor FK take on Eyupspor in Super Lig, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct at 11:30 Lagos time at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum. E. Mertoglu is the referee for this match.
What's at stake. Erzurumspor FK are 14th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with Gençlerbirliği S.K. and 2 points clear of Göztepe. A win would take them above Gençlerbirliği S.K.. Eyupspor are 18th on 3 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Samsunspor, and a win would move them above Samsunspor.
Team news. Erzurumspor FK are without G. Kerk through injury. Eyupspor are missing A. Abdullahi due to a red card, J. El Yamiq who is inactive, and A. Sabiri with a muscle injury.
Form. Erzurumspor FK have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, earning 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are D W L W D. Eyupspor have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, averaging 0.8 points a game, with a recent run of L L L L W.
The numbers. Erzurumspor FK score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 8.0 shots (3.0 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Eyupspor score 0.8 and concede 3.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal, averaging 8.9 shots (3.7 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.7 cards with 49% possession.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Erzurumspor FK have won one, drawn two and lost three. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, one was drawn and Eyupspor won three. The last time they met, on 11 May 2024, it finished Erzurumspor FK 0-4 Eyupspor, with Erzurumspor FK having 3 shots to 12, 27% of the ball, and one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways in this game. Their goals for and against make Erzurumspor FK the likelier winners, and Erzurumspor FK are the stronger side on form and the table. However, the past meetings favour Eyupspor.
The case against. Eyupspor's record still gives them 31% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Erzurumspor FK to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Erzurumspor FK the likelier winners; Erzurumspor FK are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Eyupspor. Their goals for and against point to a tight game, their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%, and four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Erzurumspor FK Over 0.5 goals (Erzurumspor FK's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (Erzurumspor FK are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Erzurumspor FK are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Eyupspor (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).