MTK Budapest vs Vasas FC
Match details. NB I, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Hidegkúti Nándor Stadion, Budapest.
What's at stake. MTK Budapest are 9th on 9 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Debreceni VSC, level on points with Zalaegerszegi TE. A win would take them above Debreceni VSC. Vasas FC are 2nd on 15 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Puskas Academy, level on points with Gyori ETO FC. A win would take them level on points with Puskas Academy.
Form. MTK Budapest have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. Vasas FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. MTK Budapest score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. MTK Budapest average 12.1 shots (6.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Vasas FC score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Vasas FC average 12.5 shots (5.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings MTK Budapest have won five, drawn none and lost three. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, MTK Budapest won three and Vasas FC won one. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2020, it finished MTK Budapest 3-1 Vasas FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Vasas FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Vasas FC; the meetings favour MTK Budapest. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The case against. MTK Budapest's record still gives them 34% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Vasas FC or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Vasas FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vasas FC; the meetings favour MTK Budapest. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 75% on the records (MTK Budapest: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Vasas FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Vasas FC 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: MTK Budapest 1-2 Vasas FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).