Match details. PrvaLiga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Športni Park Aluminij, Kidričevo. The referee is D. Halilovic.
What's at stake. Aluminij Kidricevo are 7th on 13 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Celje, 2 points clear of Brinje-Grosuplje. A win would take them above Celje. Olimpija Ljubljana are 5th on 15 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Nafta, level on points with Celje. A win would take them above Nafta.
Form. Aluminij Kidricevo have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. In this competition Aluminij Kidricevo have gone L D W D L L. Olimpija Ljubljana have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D. In this competition Olimpija Ljubljana have gone D L W W D W.
The numbers. Aluminij Kidricevo score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Aluminij Kidricevo average 4.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Olimpija Ljubljana score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Olimpija Ljubljana average 5.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Aluminij Kidricevo have won none, drawn two and lost eight. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and Olimpija Ljubljana won three. The last time they met, on 2 Aug 2026, it finished Aluminij Kidricevo 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Aluminij Kidricevo's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The read. Olimpija Ljubljana to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Olimpija Ljubljana the likelier winners; Olimpija Ljubljana are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Olimpija Ljubljana; the meetings favour Olimpija Ljubljana. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Olimpija Ljubljana or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Olimpija Ljubljana Over 0.5 goals (Olimpija Ljubljana's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Aluminij Kidricevo 1-2 Olimpija Ljubljana (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).