AHACH

18:00Fri 16 Oct

RAN

AC Horsens vs Randers FC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. AC Horsens host Randers FC in the Superliga, Regular Season - 11. The match takes place at CASA Arena, Horsens on Fri 16 Oct, with kick-off at 18:00 Lagos time. Morten Krogh is the referee for this one.

What's at stake. AC Horsens sit 6th on 12 points after 10 games, 4 points behind Brondby and 1 point clear of Silkeborg. Randers FC are 8th on 10 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Silkeborg and level on points with Odense. A win would take Randers FC above Silkeborg.

Team news. AC Horsens are without C. Vestergaard due to a knee injury. Randers FC are missing J. Bjorkengren, W. Dammers, F. Lauenborg, L. Lissens, B. Orn, and F. Sommer through injury.

Form. AC Horsens have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, averaging 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first, read D D W L W. Randers FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, taking 1.5 points a game. Their last five read L L W L W.

The numbers. AC Horsens score 2.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 13.2 shots (5.4 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Randers FC score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. They average 10.8 shots (3.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards, with 46% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last six meetings AC Horsens have won two, drawn one and lost three. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, AC Horsens won one and Randers FC won three. The last time they met, on 4 Nov 2022, it finished AC Horsens 5-1 Randers FC, with AC Horsens taking 12 shots to 7, 47% of the ball, and three yellow cards.

The case against. For me, Randers FC's record still gives them 41% to win.

The read. AC Horsens to win. A draw is live. An open game. AC Horsens are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour AC Horsens. Their goals for and against point to an open game, their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%, and four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 1X2 - 2UP: AC Horsens (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AC Horsens 2-1 Randers FC (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AC Horsens or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACH 8 of 8 (100%) · RAN 8 of 8 (100%)85.8%

AC Horsens: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Randers FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level

AC Horsens or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY

1.29

ACH 6 of 8 (75%) · RAN 6 of 8 (75%)67.3%

AC Horsens: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Randers FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 6 · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level

AC Horsens (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

2.05

ACH 3 of 6 (50%) · RAN 5 of 8 (62%)63.5%

AC Horsens won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Randers FC lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 2 of 5 · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level · won 3, refunded 1, lost 5

AC Horsens or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

ACH 3 of 5 (60%) · RAN 5 of 8 (62%)61.7%

AC Horsens scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Randers FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level

AC Horsens or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.44

ACH 6 of 8 (75%) · RAN 7 of 8 (88%)58.8%

AC Horsens: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Randers FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level

AC Horsens 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.79

ACH 2 of 5 (40%) · RAN 4 of 8 (50%)50.8%

AC Horsens scored first 1 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Randers FC trailed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level

AC Horsens or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.94

ACH 5 of 8 (62%) · RAN 4 of 8 (50%)50.2%

AC Horsens: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Randers FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 2 of 6 · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

ACH 8 of 8 (100%) · RAN 7 of 8 (88%)74%

AC Horsens: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Randers FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 6 · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level

AC HORSENS GOALS

AC Horsens Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.26

ACH 6 of 8 (75%) · RAN 6 of 8 (75%)73.2%

AC Horsens scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Randers FC conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 6 · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level

RANDERS FC GOALS

Randers FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.24

ACH 5 of 8 (62%) · RAN 8 of 8 (100%)62.5%

Randers FC scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Horsens conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.36

ACH 7 of 8 (88%) · RAN 8 of 8 (100%)87%

AC Horsens: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Randers FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.21

ACH 8 of 8 (100%) · RAN 7 of 8 (88%)87%

AC Horsens: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Randers FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · AC Horsens: only games against sides at Randers FC's level · Randers FC: only games against sides at AC Horsens's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); 1X2 - 2UP: AC Horsens (the numbers (40%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Randers FC Under 1.5 goals (Randers FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.5%

AC Horsens goals →

Randers FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

AC HORSENSDDWLWWLWWL1.70 PPG

RANDERS FCLLWLWWLWLW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC HORSENS HOMExRANDERS FC AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.101.90CONCEDED A GAME1.6010%CLEAN SHEETS30%20%FAILED TO SCORE40%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.002.50CARDS A GAME2.381.52xG1.161.51xG AGAINST1.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.00-0.44GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.29LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

59%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

85%

OKAY · 85/90

AC HORSENS OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

RANDERS FC OR DRAW

55%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC HORSENSxRANDERS FC

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.602.20CONCEDED A GAME1.804.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6

AC HORSENS 2 · 33%DRAW 1RANDERS FC 3 · 50%

1 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-06-20AC Horsens 0 – 0 Randers FC

2020-06-28AC Horsens 3 – 0 Randers FC

2020-09-13AC Horsens 0 – 3 Randers FC

2021-02-02AC Horsens 0 – 3 Randers FC

2022-08-05AC Horsens 0 – 1 Randers FC

2022-11-04AC Horsens 5 – 1 Randers FC

TEAM NEWS

AC HORSENS

Out: C. Vestergaard (Knee Injury), C. Vestergaard (Knee Injury)

RANDERS FC

Out: J. Bjorkengren (Injury), W. Dammers (Injury), F. Lauenborg (Injury), L. Lissens (Injury), B. Orn (Injury), F. Sommer (Injury)

TRENDS

AC Horsens have scored in 80% of their games.

Randers FC have scored in 70% of their games.

AC Horsens kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Randers FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards