Match details. Al Qadsiah take on Abha Club in the Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is set for Fri 16 Oct at 14:15 Lagos time at Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium, Daman, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Al Qadsiah are 2nd on 19 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Al-Hilal Saudi FC and level on points with Al-Nassr. A win takes them top. Abha Club are 18th on 2 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Al Taawon, and a win moves them above Al Taawon.
Form. Al Qadsiah have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, averaging 2.3 points a game. Their last five matches read D W W D W. Abha Club have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, picking up 0.3 points a game, with a recent run of D L L L D.
The numbers. Al Qadsiah score 2.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. They average 11.8 shots (5.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game with 57% of the ball. Abha Club score 0.6 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Abha Club average 8.7 shots (2.8 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.0 cards with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Al Qadsiah have won none, drawn two and lost none. One went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. They last met on 30 May 2021, ending Al Qadsiah 1-1 Abha Club, with Al Qadsiah having 15 shots to 8, 60% of the ball and eight yellow cards.
The read. Al Qadsiah to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Qadsiah the likelier winners, and they are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Al Qadsiah, while their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Al Qadsiah to win at 1.15, 72% on the records (Al Qadsiah won 7 of 10; Abha Club lost 7 of 10). The safer one: Abha Club Under 1.5 Goals at 1.13 (86%). Backup: Abha Club Under 1.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Al Qadsiah Over 1.5 goals (Abha Club's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al Qadsiah 3-0 Abha Club (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).