FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at TQL Stadium, Cincinnati. The referee is Rubiel Vazquez.
What's at stake. FC Cincinnati are 9th on 36 points after 27 games, level on points with New York Red Bulls, 3 points clear of New York City FC. A win would take them above New York Red Bulls. New England Revolution are 4th on 46 points after 28 games, 2 points behind Chicago Fire, level on points with Charlotte. A win would take them above Chicago Fire.
Team news. FC Cincinnati are without J. Martinez (knee injury), M. Robinson (injury), J. Martinez (knee injury), M. Robinson (injury). New England Revolution are without L. Campana (hamstring injury), M. Fofana (lower-body injury), J. Harrison (lower-body injury), A. Yusuf (muscle injury), L. Campana (hamstring injury), M. Fofana (lower-body injury). M. Fofana is their centre-back.
Form. FC Cincinnati have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. In this competition FC Cincinnati have gone W L D D L L. New England Revolution have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. In this competition New England Revolution have gone L L W W W L.
The numbers. FC Cincinnati score 1.7 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Cincinnati average 16.6 shots (6.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. New England Revolution score 1.7 and concede 1.4 a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet. New England Revolution average 14.6 shots (6.2 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings FC Cincinnati have won three, drawn two and lost two. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Cincinnati won two and New England Revolution won two. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished FC Cincinnati 1-6 New England Revolution: FC Cincinnati had 15 shots to 15, 44% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Cincinnati the likelier winners, but New England Revolution are the stronger side on form and the table.
The case against. New England Revolution's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. FC Cincinnati or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Cincinnati the likelier winners; New England Revolution are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%. Four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.10, 78% on the records (FC Cincinnati: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; New England Revolution: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Cincinnati or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Cincinnati 2-1 New England Revolution (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).