DC United vs New York Red Bulls
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Audi Field, Washington. The referee is Guido Gonzales Jr.
What's at stake. DC United are 12th on 30 points after 27 games, 2 points behind Toronto FC, 1 point clear of Columbus Crew. A win would take them above Toronto FC. New York Red Bulls are 8th on 36 points after 28 games, 1 point behind Orlando City SC, level on points with FC Cincinnati. A win would take them above Orlando City SC. DC United have nothing left to play for.
Team news. DC United are without H. Kijima (leg injury), L. Munteanu (leg injury), G. Segal (leg injury), H. Kijima (leg injury), L. Munteanu (leg injury), G. Segal (leg injury). New York Red Bulls are without A. Marcucci (knee injury), D. Padelford (concussion), A. Marcucci (knee injury), D. Padelford (concussion).
Form. DC United have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. In this competition DC United have gone L D L D W D. New York Red Bulls have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition New York Red Bulls have gone W L W W L D.
The numbers. DC United score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. DC United average 16.0 shots (4.8 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 37% of the ball. New York Red Bulls score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. New York Red Bulls average 12.8 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings DC United have won one, drawn three and lost five. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, DC United won one, two were drawn and New York Red Bulls won one. The last time they met, on 22 Apr 2026, it finished DC United 4-4 New York Red Bulls: DC United had 14 shots to 13, 49% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. DC United's record still gives them 26% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. New York Red Bulls to win. A draw is live. A tight game. New York Red Bulls are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour New York Red Bulls.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: DC United 0-1 New York Red Bulls (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).