INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

HOHEA

20:00Thu 15 Oct

NOR

NOR

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Nordsjaelland

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 1. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh. The referee is D. Kos.

What's at stake. Heart of Midlothian FC are 23rd on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with SC Braga, level on points with FC Lugano. A win would take them above SC Braga. Nordsjaelland are 19th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with FC Midtjylland, level on points with Panathinaikos. A win would take them above FC Midtjylland.

Form. Heart of Midlothian FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. In this competition Heart of Midlothian FC have gone D. Nordsjaelland have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D.

The numbers. Heart of Midlothian FC score three and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Heart of Midlothian FC average 16.6 shots (5.1 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Nordsjaelland score two and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Nordsjaelland average 12.3 shots (4.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 60% of the ball.

The case against. Heart of Midlothian FC's record still gives them 46% to win.

The read. Nordsjaelland to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Heart of Midlothian FC the likelier winners; Heart of Midlothian FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Heart of Midlothian FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Nordsjaelland are a clear winner, no Unders); Nordsjaelland 1UP (the signs point different ways); Nordsjaelland or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Heart of Midlothian FC 1-2 Nordsjaelland (6% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Nordsjaelland or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HEA 6 of 6 (100%) · NOR 6 of 6 (100%)92.6%

Nordsjaelland: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Heart of Midlothian FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against

Nordsjaelland or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

HEA 5 of 6 (83%) · NOR 5 of 6 (83%)80.6%

Nordsjaelland: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Heart of Midlothian FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

Nordsjaelland win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.16

HEA 5 of 6 (83%) · NOR 5 of 6 (83%)80.6%

Nordsjaelland: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Heart of Midlothian FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

Nordsjaelland or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.25

HEA 3 of 5 (60%) · NOR 3 of 5 (60%)61%

Nordsjaelland scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · Heart of Midlothian FC trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

HEA 6 of 6 (100%) · NOR 6 of 6 (100%)85.3%

Heart of Midlothian FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Nordsjaelland: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 89% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.53

HEA 5 of 6 (83%) · NOR 5 of 6 (83%)74.4%

Heart of Midlothian FC: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Nordsjaelland: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against

NORDSJAELLAND GOALS

Nordsjaelland Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.17

HEA 5 of 6 (83%) · NOR 5 of 6 (83%)80.6%

Nordsjaelland scored in 5 of 6 away · Heart of Midlothian FC conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

HEA 6 of 6 (100%) · NOR 5 of 6 (83%)89.5%

Heart of Midlothian FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Nordsjaelland: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

HEA 5 of 6 (83%) · NOR 5 of 6 (83%)82.6%

Heart of Midlothian FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Nordsjaelland: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CORNERS

Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HEA 7 of 7 (100%) · NOR 4 of 5 (80%)90%

Heart of Midlothian FC's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nordsjaelland's games: over 6.5 corners in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Nordsjaelland are a clear winner - no Unders); Nordsjaelland 1UP (the numbers (48%) and the records (61%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Nordsjaelland or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (41%) and the records (50%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (Nordsjaelland are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 6%

Heart of Midlothian FC goals →

Nordsjaelland goals ↓

0-03%

1-05%

2-06%

3-04%

4-02%

5-01%

0-13%

1-18%

2-19%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-23%

1-26%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-31%

1-33%

2-33%

3-33%

4-32%

5-30.7%

0-40.5%

1-41%

2-41%

3-41%

4-40.6%

5-40.3%

0-50.2%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.3%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN FCDWDWWWWLDW2.10 PPG

NORDSJAELLANDWWWWLDWWLD2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN FC HOMExNORDSJAELLAND AWAY

2.60SCORED A GAME1.801.10CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE17%7.14CORNERS A GAME3.891.43CARDS A GAME1.89

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.67POINTS A GAME1.80+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40+2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.72.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES10

Heart of Midlothian FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

83%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN FC OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

NORDSJAELLAND OR DRAW

41%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN FCxNORDSJAELLAND

5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.603.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.210.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Heart of Midlothian FC have scored in 100% of their games.

Nordsjaelland have scored in 80% of their games.

Heart of Midlothian FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Nordsjaelland kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards