Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Irtysh Pavlodar have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. Astana have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W.
The numbers. FC Irtysh Pavlodar score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Irtysh Pavlodar average 0.9 corners and 0.3 cards a game. Astana score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Astana average 1.0 corners and 0.2 cards a game.
The case against. FC Irtysh Pavlodar's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Astana to win. A tight game. Astana are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Astana. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Astana or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Irtysh Pavlodar Over 0.5 goals (FC Irtysh Pavlodar's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); FC Irtysh Pavlodar Under 1.5 goals (FC Irtysh Pavlodar's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: FC Irtysh Pavlodar 0-1 Astana (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Astana win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.16
FCI 4 of 5 (80%) · AST 6 of 6 (100%)93.6%
Astana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · FC Irtysh Pavlodar: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 94% · Astana: only games against sides at FC Irtysh Pavlodar's level · FC Irtysh Pavlodar: only games against sides at Astana's level
Astana or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCI 3 of 5 (60%) · AST 3 of 5 (60%)67.8%
Astana scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · FC Irtysh Pavlodar trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 at home · Astana: only games against sides at FC Irtysh Pavlodar's level · FC Irtysh Pavlodar: only games against sides at Astana's level
Astana 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCI 3 of 5 (60%) · AST 3 of 5 (60%)67.8%
Astana scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 away · FC Irtysh Pavlodar trailed in 5 of 6 at home · Astana: only games against sides at FC Irtysh Pavlodar's level · FC Irtysh Pavlodar: only games against sides at Astana's level
Astana or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
FCI 4 of 5 (80%) · AST 3 of 6 (50%)62.4%
Astana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · FC Irtysh Pavlodar: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 69% · Astana: only games against sides at FC Irtysh Pavlodar's level · FC Irtysh Pavlodar: only games against sides at Astana's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCI 6 of 6 (100%) · AST 5 of 5 (100%)95.9%
FC Irtysh Pavlodar: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Astana: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · FC Irtysh Pavlodar: only games against sides at Astana's level · Astana: only games against sides at FC Irtysh Pavlodar's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
FCI 5 of 6 (83%) · AST 4 of 5 (80%)90.1%
FC Irtysh Pavlodar: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Astana: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · FC Irtysh Pavlodar: only games against sides at Astana's level · Astana: only games against sides at FC Irtysh Pavlodar's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.66
FCI 3 of 6 (50%) · AST 3 of 5 (60%)53.5%
FC Irtysh Pavlodar: both scored in 3 of 6 at home · Astana: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · FC Irtysh Pavlodar: only games against sides at Astana's level · Astana: only games against sides at FC Irtysh Pavlodar's level
ASTANA GOALS
Astana Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.16
FCI 4 of 5 (80%) · AST 6 of 6 (100%)78.7%
Astana scored in 4 of 5 away · FC Irtysh Pavlodar conceded in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 94% · Astana: only games against sides at FC Irtysh Pavlodar's level · FC Irtysh Pavlodar: only games against sides at Astana's level
Left off the list: Astana or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Irtysh Pavlodar Over 0.5 goals (FC Irtysh Pavlodar's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); FC Irtysh Pavlodar Under 1.5 goals (FC Irtysh Pavlodar's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Astana or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–18%
FC Irtysh Pavlodar goals →
Astana goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
FC IRTYSH PAVLODARLWWLWLLWWL1.50 PPG
ASTANALWLWWDWWWL1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC IRTYSH PAVLODAR HOMExASTANA AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.651.38CONCEDED A GAME1.0460%BOTH SCORED60%0%CLEAN SHEETS30%0.94CORNERS A GAME1.000.35CARDS A GAME0.20
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.30POINTS A GAME2.20-0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.90–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.810LEAGUE GAMES10
Astana: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
85%
NO · 85/90
FC IRTYSH PAVLODAR OR DRAW
52%
NO · 80/85
ASTANA OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC IRTYSH PAVLODARxASTANA
6GAMES51.17SCORED A GAME1.401.50CONCEDED A GAME1.202.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.683%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%50%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
FC Irtysh Pavlodar have scored in 60% of their games.
Astana have scored in 90% of their games.
FC Irtysh Pavlodar kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Astana kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards