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ITALY - SERIE A
Inter crestINTINT
12:30Sun 25 Oct
FIOFiorentina crestFIO

Inter vs Fiorentina

CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · NOT IN CODES
88
MATCH RESULT
Class A
Inter crestINTvFiorentina crestFIO
Inter to Win
Inter v Fiorentina
Italy - Serie A · 12:30
1.38odds
72%book
+16edge
1/1angles
THE READ

Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. The referee is Maurizio Mariani.

What's at stake. Inter are 2nd on 19 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Lazio, 1 point clear of AS Roma. A win would take them level on points with Lazio. Fiorentina are 18th on 4 points after 7 games, level on points with Genoa, level on points with Parma. A win would take them above Genoa.

Team news. Inter are without C. Jones (thigh injury), Luis Henrique (thigh injury), L. Martinez (thigh injury), B. Pavard (thigh injury), M. Spinacce (inactive), J. Stones (injury). Josep Martínez is their first-choice keeper. Lautaro Martínez is their top scorer. Inter's line-up is confirmed. Fiorentina are without A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee injury), L. Ranieri (leg injury), R. Sottil (back injury), A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee injury). Fiorentina's line-up is confirmed.

Form. Inter have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. Fiorentina have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W.

The numbers. Inter score 3.2 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Inter average 19.8 shots (7.1 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 63% of the ball. Fiorentina score 1.6 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Fiorentina average 13.8 shots (5.8 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Inter have won six, drawn two and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Inter won two, one was drawn and Fiorentina won one. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished Inter 1-1 Fiorentina: Inter had 12 shots to 16, 60% of the ball, six yellow cards.

The case against. Inter without Josep Martínez (keeper), Lautaro Martínez (striker).

The read. Inter or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Inter the likelier winners; Inter are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Inter; the meetings favour Inter. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Inter to win at 1.38, 88% on the records (the tipsters read Inter as a clear winner (4 scores) and Inter are 2.1 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Inter 3-0 Fiorentina (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Inter or DrawIN CODES
1.11
INT 7 of 7 (100%) · FIO 7 of 8 (88%)95.2%
Inter unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level
Inter (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.14
INT 6 of 6 (100%) · FIO 5 of 6 (83%)94.2%
Inter won 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Fiorentina lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 4 of 5 · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level · won 7, refunded 0, lost 2
Inter to Win Either Half: YesTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.18
INT 7 of 7 (100%) · FIO 7 of 8 (88%)91.1%
Inter: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level · the call is Inter or the draw: Inter without Josep Martínez (keeper), Lautaro Martínez (striker) (rule 3)
Inter to WinMAINPAGE ONLY
1.38
INT 21 of 24 (88%) · FIO 62% of 887.5%
the tipsters read Inter as a clear winner (4 scores) and Inter are 2.1 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won
Inter 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.18
INT 4 of 5 (80%) · FIO 6 of 7 (86%)86%
Inter scored first 1 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina trailed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level · the call is Inter or the draw: Inter without Josep Martínez (keeper), Lautaro Martínez (striker) (rule 3)
1X2 - 2UP: InterTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.35
INT 4 of 5 (80%) · FIO 6 of 7 (86%)81.8%
Inter scored first 1 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina trailed by 2 or lost in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level · the call is Inter or the draw: Inter without Josep Martínez (keeper), Lautaro Martínez (striker) (rule 3)
1st Half Result or Match Result: InterTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.20
INT 6 of 7 (86%) · FIO 6 of 8 (75%)81.1%
Inter: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level · the call is Inter or the draw: Inter without Josep Martínez (keeper), Lautaro Martínez (striker) (rule 3)
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
INT 7 of 7 (100%) · FIO 8 of 8 (100%)97.7%
Inter: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
INT 6 of 7 (86%) · FIO 8 of 8 (100%)91.5%
Inter: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 5 of 6 · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level
Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.42
INT 6 of 7 (86%) · FIO 6 of 8 (75%)76.5%
Inter: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level
INTER GOALS
Inter Over 1.5 goalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.38
INT 6 of 7 (86%) · FIO 6 of 8 (75%)84.7%
Inter scored over 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level · Inter without Josep Martínez, Lautaro Martínez (rule 3)
FIORENTINA GOALS
Fiorentina Under 1.5 goalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.28
INT 7 of 8 (88%) · FIO 4 of 7 (57%)72.4%
Fiorentina scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Inter conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Inter without their first-choice keeper (rule 3)
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.15
INT 5 of 7 (71%) · FIO 8 of 8 (100%)85.1%
Inter: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.24
INT 6 of 7 (86%) · FIO 7 of 8 (88%)81.6%
Inter: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fiorentina: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Inter: only games against sides at Fiorentina's level · Fiorentina: only games against sides at Inter's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 3–0 9.8%
Inter goals →
Fiorentina goals ↓
0-05%
1-010%
2-012%
3-010%
4-06%
5-03%
0-13%
1-18%
2-19%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-21%
1-23%
2-24%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.8%
0-30.3%
1-30.7%
2-30.9%
3-30.7%
4-30.4%
5-30.2%
0-40.1%
1-40.1%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
INTERWWWLWDWLWW2.20 PPG
FIORENTINADWLLLWWDLL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
INTER HOMExFIORENTINA AWAY
2.60SCORED A GAME1.601.50CONCEDED A GAME1.9030%CLEAN SHEETS10%0%FAILED TO SCORE29%6.00CORNERS A GAME4.702.10CARDS A GAME1.702.87xG1.681.09xG AGAINST1.42
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
INTER TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
INTER OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.71POINTS A GAME0.57+1.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.29+6.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.02.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.87LEAGUE GAMES7
Inter: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
INTER TO SCORE
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
INTER 2:0 HANDICAP
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
DOUBLE CHANCE: INTER OR DRAW
–
58 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
INTER 1UP
–
49 OF 55
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 85/90
INTER OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
FIORENTINA OR DRAW
20%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
INTERxFIORENTINA
5GAMES53.20SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME2.004.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE100%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.88.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
INTER 6 · 60%DRAW 2FIORENTINA 2 · 20%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-03-19Inter 1 – 1 Fiorentina
2022-10-22Inter 4 – 3 Fiorentina
2023-04-01Inter 0 – 1 Fiorentina
2023-05-24Inter 2 – 1 Fiorentina
2023-09-03Inter 4 – 0 Fiorentina
2024-01-28Inter 1 – 0 Fiorentina
2025-02-06Inter 0 – 3 Fiorentina
2025-02-10Inter 2 – 1 Fiorentina
TEAM NEWS

INTER

Out: C. Jones (Thigh Injury), Luis Henrique (Thigh Injury), L. Martinez (Thigh Injury), B. Pavard (Thigh Injury), M. Spinacce (Inactive), J. Stones (Injury)

FIORENTINA

Out: A. Atta (Abdominal strain), F. Parisi (Knee Injury), L. Ranieri (Leg Injury), R. Sottil (Back Injury), A. Atta (Abdominal strain), F. Parisi (Knee Injury)
TRENDS
Inter have scored in 100% of their games.
Fiorentina have scored in 80% of their games.
Inter kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Fiorentina kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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