Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. The referee is Maurizio Mariani.
What's at stake. Inter are 2nd on 19 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Lazio, 1 point clear of AS Roma. A win would take them level on points with Lazio. Fiorentina are 18th on 4 points after 7 games, level on points with Genoa, level on points with Parma. A win would take them above Genoa.
Team news. Inter are without C. Jones (thigh injury), Luis Henrique (thigh injury), L. Martinez (thigh injury), B. Pavard (thigh injury), M. Spinacce (inactive), J. Stones (injury). Josep Martínez is their first-choice keeper. Lautaro Martínez is their top scorer. Inter's line-up is confirmed. Fiorentina are without A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee injury), L. Ranieri (leg injury), R. Sottil (back injury), A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee injury). Fiorentina's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Inter have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. Fiorentina have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W.
The numbers. Inter score 3.2 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Inter average 19.8 shots (7.1 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 63% of the ball. Fiorentina score 1.6 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Fiorentina average 13.8 shots (5.8 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Inter have won six, drawn two and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Inter won two, one was drawn and Fiorentina won one. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished Inter 1-1 Fiorentina: Inter had 12 shots to 16, 60% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Inter without Josep Martínez (keeper), Lautaro Martínez (striker).
The read. Inter or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Inter the likelier winners; Inter are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Inter; the meetings favour Inter. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Inter to win at 1.38, 88% on the records (the tipsters read Inter as a clear winner (4 scores) and Inter are 2.1 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Inter are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Inter 3-0 Fiorentina (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).