Cagliari vs Bologna
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Unipol Domus, Cagliari. The referee is Kevin Bonacina.
What's at stake. Cagliari are 8th on 13 points after 7 games, level on points with Torino, 2 points clear of Juventus. A win would take them above Torino. Bologna are 15th on 5 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Monza, 1 point clear of Udinese. A win would take them above Monza.
Team news. Cagliari are without M. Felici (knee injury), R. Idrissi (knee injury), Y. Trepy (injury), M. Felici (knee injury), R. Idrissi (knee injury), Y. Trepy (injury). Bologna are without E. Holm (thigh injury), R. Orsolini (thigh injury), R. Piccoli (hamstring injury), E. Holm (thigh injury), R. Orsolini (thigh injury), R. Piccoli (hamstring injury).
Form. Cagliari have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. Bologna have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D.
The numbers. Cagliari score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Cagliari average 12.7 shots (5.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Bologna score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Bologna average 11.0 shots (3.8 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cagliari have won three, drawn one and lost six. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Bologna won three. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Cagliari 0-0 Bologna: Cagliari had 8 shots to 13, 35% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Cagliari are the form side, but the meetings favour Bologna: in the last ten meetings, Cagliari won three, Bologna won six and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, 75% on the records (Cagliari: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; Bologna: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Cagliari or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bologna or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Cagliari 1-1 Bologna (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).