Torino vs Monza
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin. The referee is Andrea Zanotti.
What's at stake. Torino are 10th on 10 points after 7 games, level on points with Napoli, 1 point clear of Atalanta. A win would take them above Napoli. Monza are 14th on 7 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Sassuolo, 2 points clear of Bologna. A win would take them above Sassuolo.
Team news. Torino are without N. Fortini (thigh injury), E. Ilkhan (muscle injury), F. Israel (shoulder injury), R. Rodriguez (thigh injury), N. Fortini (thigh injury), E. Ilkhan (muscle injury). Monza are without Y. Maye (muscle injury), M. Pessina (knee injury), J. Ziolkowski (foot injury), Y. Maye (muscle injury), M. Pessina (knee injury), J. Ziolkowski (foot injury).
Form. Torino have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. Monza have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D.
The numbers. Torino score one and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Torino average 8.9 shots (3.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 0.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Monza score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Monza average 14.0 shots (5.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Torino have won three, drawn three and lost one. One of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Torino won two, one was drawn and Monza won one. The last time they met, on 1 Sep 2026, it finished Torino 0-1 Monza: Torino had 16 shots to 19, 54% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Monza's record still gives them 29% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The read. Torino to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Torino the likelier winners; Torino are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Torino or Draw at 1.32, 75% on the records (Torino unbeaten in 5 of 8; Monza failed to win 5 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Monza Under 1.5 goals (Monza's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Torino or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Torino 1-0 Monza (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).