DCDIR

19:00Sat 17 Oct

ALT

Diriyah Club vs Al-Taawoun FC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh.

What's at stake. Diriyah Club are 9th on 11 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Al Kholood, 2 points clear of Al-Hazm. A win would take them above Al Kholood. Al-Taawoun FC are 17th on 3 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Al-Fateh, 1 point clear of Abha. A win would take them level on points with Al-Fateh.

Form. Diriyah Club have won three, drawn two and lost three of their last eight, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. In this competition Diriyah Club have gone L D W L W D. Al-Taawoun FC have won none, drawn three and lost five of their last eight, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Al-Taawoun FC have gone L L L D L D.

The numbers. Diriyah Club score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Diriyah Club average 11.6 shots (2.9 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Al-Taawoun FC score 0.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. Al-Taawoun FC average 14.9 shots (3.4 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

The read. Diriyah Club to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Diriyah Club the likelier winners; Diriyah Club are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Diriyah Club. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Diriyah Club 1-0 Al-Taawoun FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Diriyah Club or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.23

DIR 7 of 8 (88%) · ALT 8 of 8 (100%)93.8%

Diriyah Club: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Taawoun FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Diriyah Club: only games against sides at Al-Taawoun FC's level · Al-Taawoun FC: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level

2nd Half - Double Chance: Diriyah Club or DrawPAGE ONLY

1.26

DIR 6 of 8 (75%) · ALT 7 of 8 (88%)81.3%

Diriyah Club: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Taawoun FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · Diriyah Club: only games against sides at Al-Taawoun FC's level · Al-Taawoun FC: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level

Double Chance: Diriyah Club or DrawIN CODES

1.27

DIR 5 of 8 (62%) · ALT 8 of 8 (100%)78.5%

Diriyah Club unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Taawoun FC failed to win 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Diriyah Club: only games against sides at Al-Taawoun FC's level · Al-Taawoun FC: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level

Diriyah Club (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.45

DIR 3 of 6 (50%) · ALT 5 of 5 (100%)70.8%

Diriyah Club won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Al-Taawoun FC lost 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · Diriyah Club: only games against sides at Al-Taawoun FC's level · Al-Taawoun FC: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 2

Diriyah Club or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.84

DIR 5 of 8 (62%) · ALT 6 of 8 (75%)68.8%

Diriyah Club: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Taawoun FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Diriyah Club: only games against sides at Al-Taawoun FC's level · Al-Taawoun FC: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level

Diriyah Club to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

2.10

DIR 3 of 8 (38%) · ALT 5 of 8 (62%)52.3%

Diriyah Club won 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Taawoun FC lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Diriyah Club: only games against sides at Al-Taawoun FC's level · Al-Taawoun FC: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

DIR 8 of 8 (100%) · ALT 6 of 8 (75%)88.5%

Diriyah Club: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Taawoun FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Diriyah Club: only games against sides at Al-Taawoun FC's level · Al-Taawoun FC: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.10

DIR 5 of 8 (62%) · ALT 4 of 8 (50%)53.2%

Diriyah Club: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Taawoun FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Diriyah Club: only games against sides at Al-Taawoun FC's level · Al-Taawoun FC: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level

AL-TAAWOUN FC GOALS

Al-Taawoun FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.39

DIR 7 of 8 (88%) · ALT 6 of 8 (75%)75.7%

Al-Taawoun FC scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Al-Taawoun FC: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level · Diriyah Club: only games against sides at Al-Taawoun FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.9%

Diriyah Club goals →

Al-Taawoun FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-012%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-23%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 8

DIRIYAH CLUBLWDWLWDL1.38 PPG

AL-TAAWOUN FCDLDLDLLL0.38 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DIRIYAH CLUB HOMExAL-TAAWOUN FC AWAY

0.88SCORED A GAME0.381.00CONCEDED A GAME1.8838%CLEAN SHEETS38%50%FAILED TO SCORE75%5.29CORNERS A GAME6.621.57CARDS A GAME1.881.42xG1.331.35xG AGAINST1.87

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.57POINTS A GAME0.38+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.50+0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.71.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.27LEAGUE GAMES8

Diriyah Club: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

DIRIYAH CLUB 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

DIRIYAH CLUB OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

AL-TAAWOUN FC OR DRAW

49%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

DIRIYAH CLUBxAL-TAAWOUN FC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.201.20CONCEDED A GAME2.402.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE20%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.011.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Diriyah Club have scored in 60% of their games.

Al-Taawoun FC have scored in 50% of their games.

Diriyah Club failed to score in 50% of their games.

Al-Taawoun FC failed to score in 75% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAleague tablecornerscards