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BELGIUM - BEKER VAN BELGIE
Standard Liege crestSLSTA
20:00Fri 16 Oct
FCVFCV Dender EH crestFD

Standard Liege vs FCV Dender EH

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. Beker van Belgie, Round of 32. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Standard Liege have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. FCV Dender EH have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition FCV Dender EH have gone W.

The numbers. Standard Liege score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Standard Liege average 14.2 shots (5.0 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. FCV Dender EH score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FCV Dender EH average 15.3 shots (5.3 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Standard Liege have won four, drawn three and lost one. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Standard Liege won one, two were drawn and FCV Dender EH won one. The last time they met, on 20 Dec 2025, it finished Standard Liege 1-0 FCV Dender EH: Standard Liege had 8 shots to 10, 41% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. FCV Dender EH are the form side, but the meetings favour Standard Liege: in the last eight meetings, Standard Liege won four, FCV Dender EH won one and three were drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%. Seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Standard Liege 1-1 FCV Dender EH (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
STA 5 of 5 (100%) · FCV 3 of 5 (60%)80.8%
Standard Liege: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FCV Dender EH: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Standard Liege: only games against sides at FCV Dender EH's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.36
STA 4 of 5 (80%) · FCV 3 of 5 (60%)74.6%
Standard Liege: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FCV Dender EH: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Standard Liege: only games against sides at FCV Dender EH's level
FCV DENDER EH GOALS
FCV Dender EH Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.54
STA 4 of 5 (80%) · FCV 3 of 5 (60%)67.5%
FCV Dender EH scored in 4 of 5 away · Standard Liege conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · Standard Liege: only games against sides at FCV Dender EH's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STA 6 of 8 (75%) · FCV 5 of 6 (83%)79.2%
Standard Liege's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FCV Dender EH's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Standard Liege: only games against sides at FCV Dender EH's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13%
Standard Liege goals →
FCV Dender EH goals ↓
0-08%
1-07%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.7%
5-10.1%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41.0%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
STANDARD LIEGEWLDDWWWLLL1.40 PPG
FCV DENDER EHLDLWWWWWWW2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
STANDARD LIEGE HOMExFCV DENDER EH AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.901.60CONCEDED A GAME0.5020%CLEAN SHEETS70%12%FAILED TO SCORE14%6.12CORNERS A GAME5.831.38CARDS A GAME1.67
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME2.40+0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.20-0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.21.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.46LEAGUE GAMES5
FCV Dender EH: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
53%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
86%
OKAY · 85/90
STANDARD LIEGE OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
FCV DENDER EH OR DRAW
34%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
STANDARD LIEGExFCV DENDER EH
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME0.403.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
STANDARD LIEGE 4 · 50%DRAW 3FCV DENDER EH 1 · 12%
3 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-11-08Standard Liege 1 – 0 FCV Dender EH
2024-09-13Standard Liege 2 – 0 FCV Dender EH
2025-01-26Standard Liege 1 – 0 FCV Dender EH
2025-04-13Standard Liege 1 – 1 FCV Dender EH
2025-05-17Standard Liege 0 – 0 FCV Dender EH
2025-08-02Standard Liege 1 – 1 FCV Dender EH
2025-12-02Standard Liege 2 – 3 FCV Dender EH
2025-12-20Standard Liege 1 – 0 FCV Dender EH
TRENDS
Standard Liege have scored in 80% of their games.
FCV Dender EH have scored in 80% of their games.
Standard Liege kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
FCV Dender EH kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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