PSG vs Lyon
Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Parc des Princes, Paris. The referee is Jerome Brisard.
What's at stake. PSG are 5th on 14 points after 7 games, level on points with Lyon, level on points with Paris FC. A win would take them above Lyon. Lyon are 4th on 14 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Monaco, level on points with Paris Saint Germain. A win would take them above Monaco.
Team news. PSG are without O. Dembele (thigh injury), K. Kvaratskhelia (knee injury), Marquinhos (thigh injury), N. Mendes (muscle injury), A. Longoni (injury), O. Dembele (thigh injury). Lyon are without S. Kango (concussion), K. Nakamura (red card), L. Openda (leg injury), M. Ouedraogo (knee injury), P. Sulc (knee injury), N. Tagliafico (muscle injury).
Form. PSG have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Lyon have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W.
The numbers. PSG score 2.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. PSG average 20.0 shots (8.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 0.8 cards a game, with 68% of the ball. Lyon score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lyon average 10.4 shots (5.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings PSG have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, PSG won three and Lyon won one. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished PSG 1-2 Lyon: PSG had 23 shots to 6, 77% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: PSG are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make PSG the likelier winners; PSG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PSG; the meetings favour PSG. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: PSG or Draw at 1.10, 91% on the records (a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)). Backup: PSG or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: PSG Over 1.5 goals (Lyon's own games don't back it (1 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (PSG are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (PSG are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: PSG 2-1 Lyon (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).