Freiburg scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Bayern Munich conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level
· main loses on: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, 4-0, 3-2, 4-1, 5-0, 4-2, 5-1, 6-0 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg. The referee is Felix Zwayer.
What's at stake. Freiburg are 3rd on 13 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Bayern München, level on points with Bayer Leverkusen. A win would take them above Bayern München. Bayern Munich are 2nd on 14 points after 6 games, 3 points behind Borussia Dortmund, 1 point clear of SC Freiburg. A win would take them level on points with Borussia Dortmund.
Team news. Freiburg are without Y. Engelhardt (injury), B. Yilmaz (lacking match fitness), Y. Engelhardt (injury), B. Yilmaz (lacking match fitness). Bayern Munich are without T. Buchmann (knee injury), L. Diaz (muscle injury), Kim Min-Jae (knee injury), J. Kimmich (personal reasons), J. Musiala (muscle injury), T. Buchmann (knee injury).
Form. Freiburg have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. Bayern Munich have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W.
The numbers. Freiburg score 3.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Freiburg average 14.7 shots (6.6 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Bayern Munich score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Bayern Munich average 21.6 shots (9.4 on target), 9.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 69% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Freiburg have won one, drawn one and lost eight. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Bayern Munich won four. The last time they met, on 4 Apr 2026, it finished Freiburg 2-3 Bayern Munich: Freiburg had 13 shots to 21, 30% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Freiburg's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Bayern Munich to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bayern Munich the likelier winners; Bayern Munich are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bayern Munich; the meetings favour Bayern Munich. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Bayern Munich at 1.14, 85% on the records (Bayern Munich unbeaten in 6 of 6; Freiburg failed to win 2 of 6). Leave: Bayern Munich Over 1.5 goals (Freiburg's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (Bayern Munich are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Bayern Munich are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Freiburg 1-2 Bayern Munich (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Bayern Munich or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FRE 5 of 6 (83%) · BAY 5 of 6 (83%)93.8%
Bayern Munich: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level
Bayern Munich or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.13
FRE 5 of 6 (83%) · BAY 5 of 6 (83%)91.3%
Bayern Munich: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level
Bayern Munich (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.16
FRE 6 of 6 (100%) · BAY 1 of 5 (20%)90.5%
Bayern Munich won 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Freiburg lost 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 5 of 5 · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level · each game weighed by who it was against · won 2, refunded 3, lost 5
Double Chance: Draw or Bayern MunichMAINPAGE ONLY
1.14
FRE 6 of 6 (100%) · BAY 2 of 6 (33%)87.5%
Bayern Munich unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg failed to win 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level
Bayern Munich or draw and over 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.18
FRE 2 of 6 (33%) · BAY 5 of 6 (83%)79.4%
Freiburg: the bet landed in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Bayern Munich: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 6 of 6 · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level
Bayern Munich to WinPAGE ONLY
1.39
FRE 4 of 6 (67%) · BAY 1 of 6 (17%)72.3%
Bayern Munich won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg lost 1 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 42% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level
Bayern Munich or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 92%
1.09
FRE 5 of 5 (100%) · BAY 6 of 6 (100%)69%
Bayern Munich scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg trailed or failed to win in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level
Bayern Munich Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.40
FRE 4 of 6 (67%) · BAY 1 of 6 (17%)66%
Bayern Munich: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg: the bet landed in 1 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 42% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level
Bayern Munich win and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
FRE 4 of 6 (67%) · BAY 1 of 6 (17%)64%
Bayern Munich: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg: the bet landed in 1 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 42% · H2H 4 of 6 · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level
Bayern Munich or draw and both teams scoreSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.60
FRE 2 of 6 (33%) · BAY 4 of 6 (67%)52.1%
Freiburg: the bet landed in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Bayern Munich: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 4 of 6 · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level · rule 2: the meetings back Bayern Munich: in the last 10 meetings, Freiburg won 1, Bayern Munich won 8 and 1 was drawn; i
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FRE 6 of 6 (100%) · BAY 5 of 6 (83%)97.6%
Freiburg: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Bayern Munich: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 6 of 6 · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level
Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
FRE 5 of 6 (83%) · BAY 5 of 6 (83%)76.3%
Freiburg: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Bayern Munich: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
FRE 4 of 6 (67%) · BAY 4 of 6 (67%)57.7%
Freiburg: both scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Bayern Munich: both scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 6 · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level
FREIBURG GOALS
Freiburg Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.34
FRE 6 of 6 (100%) · BAY 4 of 6 (67%)61%
Freiburg scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Bayern Munich conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.16
FRE 6 of 6 (100%) · BAY 5 of 6 (83%)89.6%
Freiburg: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Bayern Munich: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.10
FRE 5 of 6 (83%) · BAY 5 of 6 (83%)87.5%
Freiburg: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Bayern Munich: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Freiburg: only games against sides at Bayern Munich's level · Bayern Munich: only games against sides at Freiburg's level
Left off the list: Bayern Munich Over 1.5 goals (Freiburg's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (Bayern Munich are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Bayern Munich are a clear winner - no Unders); Freiburg Under 1.5 goals (Freiburg's own games don't back it (2 of 6))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.9%
Freiburg goals →
Bayern Munich goals ↓
0-05%
1-04%
2-02%
3-00.6%
4-00.2%
5-00.0%
0-19%
1-110%
2-14%
3-11%
4-10.3%
5-10.1%
0-210%
1-210%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-37%
1-37%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-44%
1-44%
2-42%
3-40.6%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-52%
1-52%
2-50.8%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
FREIBURGWWWWWDWWLL2.20 PPG
BAYERN MUNICHWWDWWWDDWD2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FREIBURG HOMExBAYERN MUNICH AWAY
2.70SCORED A GAME3.601.30CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE17%6.30CORNERS A GAME9.001.50CARDS A GAME1.001.92xG3.500.94xG AGAINST0.93
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
BAYERN MUNICH TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.17POINTS A GAME2.33+1.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.83+3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+12.52.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.26LEAGUE GAMES6
Bayern Munich: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 85/90
FREIBURG OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
BAYERN MUNICH OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FREIBURGxBAYERN MUNICH
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME3.401.00CONCEDED A GAME0.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
FREIBURG 1 · 10%DRAW 1BAYERN MUNICH 8 · 80%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
8 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-04-02Freiburg 1 – 4 Bayern Munich
2022-10-16Freiburg 0 – 5 Bayern Munich
2023-04-04Freiburg 2 – 1 Bayern Munich
2023-04-08Freiburg 0 – 1 Bayern Munich
2023-10-08Freiburg 0 – 3 Bayern Munich
2024-03-01Freiburg 2 – 2 Bayern Munich
2024-09-01Freiburg 0 – 2 Bayern Munich
2025-01-25Freiburg 1 – 2 Bayern Munich
TEAM NEWS
FREIBURG
Out: Y. Engelhardt (Injury), B. Yilmaz (Lacking Match Fitness), Y. Engelhardt (Injury), B. Yilmaz (Lacking Match Fitness)
BAYERN MUNICH
Out: T. Buchmann (Knee Injury), L. Diaz (Muscle Injury), Kim Min-Jae (Knee Injury), J. Kimmich (Personal Reasons), J. Musiala (Muscle Injury), T. Buchmann (Knee Injury)
TRENDS
Freiburg have scored in 90% of their games.
Bayern Munich have scored in 90% of their games.
Freiburg kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Bayern Munich kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards