Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Prezero Arena, Sinsheim. The referee is Daniel Siebert.
What's at stake. Hoffenheim are 14th on 6 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Eintracht Frankfurt, level on points with VfB Stuttgart. A win would take them above Eintracht Frankfurt. Bayer Leverkusen are 4th on 13 points after 6 games, level on points with SC Freiburg, 1 point clear of RB Leipzig. A win would take them above SC Freiburg.
Team news. Hoffenheim are without N. De Cat (knee injury), A. Hajdari (foot injury), P. Wimmer (thigh injury), B. Conte (injury), N. De Cat (knee injury), A. Hajdari (foot injury). Bayer Leverkusen are without E. Ben Seghir (muscle injury), G. Doue (calf injury), K. Eichhorn (illness), C. Kofane (muscle injury), M. Terrier (muscle injury), M. Culbreath (foot injury).
Form. Hoffenheim have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. Bayer Leverkusen have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Hoffenheim score 2.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Hoffenheim average 15.7 shots (5.8 on target), 8.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Bayer Leverkusen score three and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Bayer Leverkusen average 18.1 shots (7.8 on target), 6.8 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Hoffenheim have won three, drawn one and lost six. Nine of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Hoffenheim won two and Bayer Leverkusen won two. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Hoffenheim 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen: Hoffenheim had 19 shots to 8, 38% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. Hoffenheim's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Bayer Leverkusen to win. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bayer Leverkusen the likelier winners; Bayer Leverkusen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bayer Leverkusen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 90%. Nine of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.09, 80% on the records (Hoffenheim: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6; Bayer Leverkusen: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6). Backup: Bayer Leverkusen win or both teams score at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Bayer Leverkusen or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Hoffenheim 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).