FRFCR

17:00Mon 19 Oct

FKT

FC RFS vs FK Tukums 2000/TSS

CLASS B

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Virsliga. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. FC RFS have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. FK Tukums 2000/TSS have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L.

The numbers. FC RFS score 2.3 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. FC RFS average 6.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game. FK Tukums 2000/TSS score 0.7 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. FK Tukums 2000/TSS average 3.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 94% against the records' 64%.

The read. No firm call: FC RFS are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC RFS the likelier winners; FC RFS are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC RFS. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC RFS Over 1.5 Goals (FK Tukums 2000/TSS's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC RFS 2-1 FK Tukums 2000/TSS (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC RFS or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCR 6 of 7 (86%) · FKT 10 of 10 (100%)92.9%

FC RFS: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FK Tukums 2000/TSS: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · FC RFS: only games against sides at FK Tukums 2000/TSS's level · FK Tukums 2000/TSS: only games against sides at FC RFS's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCR 6 of 7 (86%) · FKT 10 of 10 (100%)93.6%

FC RFS: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FK Tukums 2000/TSS: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · FC RFS: only games against sides at FK Tukums 2000/TSS's level · FK Tukums 2000/TSS: only games against sides at FC RFS's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 79%

1.27

FCR 5 of 7 (71%) · FKT 5 of 10 (50%)53.9%

FC RFS: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FK Tukums 2000/TSS: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · FC RFS: only games against sides at FK Tukums 2000/TSS's level · FK Tukums 2000/TSS: only games against sides at FC RFS's level

FC RFS GOALS

FC RFS Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCR 6 of 7 (86%) · FKT 10 of 10 (100%)85.3%

FC RFS scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FK Tukums 2000/TSS conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · FC RFS: only games against sides at FK Tukums 2000/TSS's level · FK Tukums 2000/TSS: only games against sides at FC RFS's level

Left off the list: FC RFS Over 1.5 Goals (FK Tukums 2000/TSS's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.9%

FC RFS goals →

FK Tukums 2000/TSS goals ↓

0-06%

1-011%

2-011%

3-07%

4-03%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-25%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-30.8%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.2%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC RFSWWDWDLWDWL1.80 PPG

FK TUKUMS 2000/TSSLDLWLLLWLL0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC RFS HOMExFK TUKUMS 2000/TSS AWAY

2.47SCORED A GAME1.380.75CONCEDED A GAME1.9760%BOTH SCORED50%40%CLEAN SHEETS0%6.53CORNERS A GAME3.771.44CARDS A GAME2.13

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.50POINTS A GAME0.64+2.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.09+6.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.62.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.88LEAGUE GAMES11

FC RFS: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

FC RFS 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

66%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 85/90

FC RFS OR DRAW

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

FK TUKUMS 2000/TSS OR DRAW

21%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC RFSxFK TUKUMS 2000/TSS

5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME0.800.60CONCEDED A GAME1.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.29.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC RFS have scored in 90% of their games.

FK Tukums 2000/TSS have scored in 50% of their games.

FC RFS kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

FK Tukums 2000/TSS kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards