US Livorno 1915 vs US Grosseto

Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 10. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno.

What's at stake. US Livorno 1915 are 5th on 15 points after 9 games, level on points with Torres, 1 point clear of Reggiana. A win would take them above Torres. US Grosseto are 3rd on 18 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Ravenna, 3 points clear of Torres. A win would take them above Ravenna.

Form. US Livorno 1915 have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. US Grosseto have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.

The numbers. US Livorno 1915 score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. US Livorno 1915 average 10.3 shots (4.3 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game. US Grosseto score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. US Grosseto average 14.8 shots (5.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings US Livorno 1915 have won three, drawn five and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, US Livorno 1915 won two, one was drawn and US Grosseto won one. The last time they met, on 26 Jan 2025, it finished US Livorno 1915 0-0 US Grosseto.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. US Livorno 1915's record still gives them 38% to win.

The read. US Grosseto to win. Their goals for and against make US Grosseto the likelier winners; US Grosseto are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: US Livorno 1915 0-1 US Grosseto (10% chance).