CR Flamengo RJ vs Atletico Mineiro MG

Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro. The referee is Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima.

What's at stake. CR Flamengo RJ are 2nd on 67 points after 31 games, 2 points behind Palmeiras, 13 points clear of Cruzeiro. A win would take them above Palmeiras. Atletico Mineiro MG are 6th on 50 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Fluminense, level on points with Bahia. A win would take them above Fluminense.

Team news. CR Flamengo RJ are without Danilo (jaw injury), Evertton Araujo (thigh injury), Danilo (jaw injury), Evertton Araujo (thigh injury). Atletico Mineiro MG are without T. Borbas (muscle injury), M. Cassierra (muscle injury), Cuello (ribs injury), Everson (foot injury), Fred (muscle injury), Ruan Tressoldi (muscle injury). Everson is their first-choice keeper.

Form. CR Flamengo RJ have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition CR Flamengo RJ have gone W W D W W W. Atletico Mineiro MG have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. In this competition Atletico Mineiro MG have gone W W D W D W.

The numbers. CR Flamengo RJ score two and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CR Flamengo RJ average 18.2 shots (7.2 on target), 8.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Atletico Mineiro MG score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Mineiro MG average 16.1 shots (6.6 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings CR Flamengo RJ have won five, drawn two and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CR Flamengo RJ won two, one was drawn and Atletico Mineiro MG won one. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished CR Flamengo RJ 4-0 Atletico Mineiro MG: CR Flamengo RJ had 9 shots to 18, 49% of the ball, three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 51%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No firm call: CR Flamengo RJ are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CR Flamengo RJ the likelier winners; CR Flamengo RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CR Flamengo RJ; the meetings favour CR Flamengo RJ.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 73% on the records (CR Flamengo RJ: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Atletico Mineiro MG: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Atletico Mineiro MG Under 1.5 goals (Atletico Mineiro MG's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (CR Flamengo RJ are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CR Flamengo RJ 2-1 Atletico Mineiro MG (9% chance).