Coritiba FC PR vs Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS
Match details. Br1, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba. The referee is Ramon Abatti.
What's at stake. Coritiba FC PR are 12th on 39 points after 31 games, level on points with Botafogo, 1 point clear of Vasco DA Gama. A win would take them above Botafogo. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS are 18th on 31 points after 31 games, 2 points behind Corinthians, 5 points clear of Remo. A win would take them above Corinthians.
Team news. Coritiba FC PR are without Lucas Ronier (knee injury), Thiago Santos (yellow cards), Lucas Taverna (inactive), Richard (inactive), Lucas Ronier (knee injury), Thiago Santos (yellow cards). Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS are without J. Cabral (inactive), Danilo Barbosa (injury), B. G. Joao Pedro (injury), J. Nardoni (inactive), Walter Kannemann (red card), Matheus Nascimento (inactive).
Form. Coritiba FC PR have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. In this competition Coritiba FC PR have gone L D L L D L. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. In this competition Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have gone L D D D L L.
The numbers. Coritiba FC PR score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Coritiba FC PR average 12.6 shots (3.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS average 12.8 shots (4.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Coritiba FC PR have won one, drawn two and lost seven. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS won three. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Coritiba FC PR 0-1 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: Coritiba FC PR had 15 shots to 22, 44% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Coritiba FC PR are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Coritiba FC PR; the meetings favour Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's record still gives them 31% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The read. Coritiba FC PR or the draw. A tight game. Coritiba FC PR are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Coritiba FC PR; the meetings favour Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.36, 72% on the records (Coritiba FC PR: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Coritiba FC PR or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Coritiba FC PR or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Coritiba FC PR 1-1 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).