Chapecoense SC vs Fluminense FC RJ
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Condá, Chapeco. The referee is Anderson Daronco.
What's at stake. Chapecoense SC are 20th on 18 points after 30 games, 8 points behind Remo. Fluminense FC RJ are 5th on 51 points after 31 games, 2 points behind Atletico Paranaense, 1 point clear of Atletico-MG. A win would take them above Atletico Paranaense.
Team news. Chapecoense SC are without Heitor (hamstring injury), Kauan (yellow cards), Rafael Carvalheira (knee injury), Robert Conceicao (knee injury), Vinicius Balieiro (knee injury), Heitor (hamstring injury). Fluminense FC RJ are without Alisson (hip injury), John Kennedy (knee injury), Matheus Reis (knee injury), J. Savarino (yellow cards), Martinelli (inactive), Alisson (hip injury). John Kennedy is their top scorer.
Form. Chapecoense SC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Chapecoense SC have gone L L L D L W. Fluminense FC RJ have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. In this competition Fluminense FC RJ have gone L L W W L W.
The numbers. Chapecoense SC score 1.1 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Chapecoense SC average 14.1 shots (4.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Fluminense FC RJ score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Fluminense FC RJ average 12.5 shots (5.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Chapecoense SC have won two, drawn three and lost five. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, one was drawn and Fluminense FC RJ won three. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Chapecoense SC 1-2 Fluminense FC RJ: Chapecoense SC had 8 shots to 30, 29% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Fluminense FC RJ without John Kennedy (striker). Chapecoense SC's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Fluminense FC RJ or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fluminense FC RJ the likelier winners; Fluminense FC RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fluminense FC RJ; the meetings favour Fluminense FC RJ. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Fluminense FC RJ at 1.21, 78% on the records (Fluminense FC RJ unbeaten in 3 of 5 away; Chapecoense SC failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Fluminense FC RJ Over 1.5 goals (Fluminense FC RJ's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Fluminense FC RJ are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Fluminense FC RJ are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Chapecoense SC 1-2 Fluminense FC RJ (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).