Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands.
What's at stake. Coventry City are 16th on 6 points after 6 games, level on points with Bournemouth, 1 point clear of Fulham. A win would take them above Bournemouth. Fulham are 17th on 5 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Coventry, level on points with Nottingham Forest. A win would take them above Coventry.
Form. Coventry City have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. Fulham have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D.
The numbers. Coventry City score 1.5 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Coventry City average 10.0 shots (4.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 38% of the ball. Fulham score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Fulham average 14.6 shots (5.0 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. Coventry City have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 10 Apr 2022, it finished Coventry City 3-1 Fulham: Coventry City had 18 shots to 27, 35% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Coventry City's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. Fulham or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Both teams' records favour Fulham. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.48, 72% on the records (Coventry City: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7; Fulham: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 7.5 Corners (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Coventry City 1-1 Fulham (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).