Arsenal vs Everton
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Emirates Stadium, London.
What's at stake. Arsenal are 2nd on 18 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Manchester City, 2 points clear of Brighton. A win would take them level on points with Manchester City. Everton are 8th on 10 points after 7 games, level on points with Leeds, 1 point clear of Hull City. A win would take them above Leeds.
Form. Arsenal have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Everton have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D.
The numbers. Arsenal score 1.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Arsenal average 13.0 shots (5.0 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 61% of the ball. Everton score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Everton average 13.6 shots (4.7 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Arsenal have won six, drawn two and lost one. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Arsenal won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Arsenal 2-0 Everton: Arsenal had 25 shots to 9, 65% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Arsenal to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Arsenal the likelier winners; Arsenal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Arsenal; the meetings favour Arsenal. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Arsenal to win at 1.49, 88% on the records (the tipsters read Arsenal as a clear winner (5 scores) and Arsenal are 1.1 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 3.5 Goals (Arsenal are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Arsenal are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Arsenal 2-0 Everton (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).