Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich. The referee is Thomas Bramall.
What's at stake. Ipswich Town are 10th on 9 points after 7 games, level on points with Hull City, 1 point clear of Newcastle. A win would take them above Hull City. Nottingham Forest are 19th on 5 points after 7 games, level on points with Fulham, 1 point clear of Sunderland. A win would take them above Fulham.
Team news. Ipswich Town are without S. Lukic (groin injury), J. Taylor (knee injury), S. Lukic (groin injury), J. Taylor (knee injury). Nottingham Forest are without Igor Jesus (calf injury), N. Savona (knee injury), Igor Jesus (calf injury), N. Savona (knee injury).
Form. Ipswich Town have won three, drawn none and lost four of their last seven, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition Ipswich Town have gone L W L W L L. Nottingham Forest have won one, drawn two and lost four of their last seven, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. In this competition Nottingham Forest have gone L L L W D D.
The numbers. Ipswich Town score 1.6 and concede 2.1 a game over their last seven, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ipswich Town average 11.0 shots (4.4 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Nottingham Forest score 0.7 and concede 1.3 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Nottingham Forest average 17.1 shots (3.6 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Ipswich Town have won two, drawn one and lost six. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Nottingham Forest won three. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2025, it finished Ipswich Town 2-4 Nottingham Forest: Ipswich Town had 11 shots to 11, 56% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Ipswich Town are the form side, but the meetings favour Nottingham Forest: in the last nine meetings, Ipswich Town won two, Nottingham Forest won six and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ipswich Town or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Nottingham Forest or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Ipswich Town 1-2 Nottingham Forest (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).