FK Suduva Marijampole vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
Match details. TOPLYGA, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 16:45 Lagos time. It is played at Marijampole Football Arena.
What's at stake. FK Suduva Marijampole are 3rd on 50 points after 29 games, level on points with FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 4 points clear of TransINVEST Vilnius. A win would take them above FK Zalgiris Vilnius. FK Kauno Zalgiris are 1st on 51 points after 28 games, 1 point clear of FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
Form. FK Suduva Marijampole have won five, drawn two and lost two of their last nine, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. In this competition FK Suduva Marijampole have gone L D D L W W. FK Kauno Zalgiris have won six, drawn two and lost one of their last nine, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition FK Kauno Zalgiris have gone W L W W W D.
The numbers. FK Suduva Marijampole score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Suduva Marijampole average 5.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game. FK Kauno Zalgiris score 2.4 and concede 0.6 a game over their last nine, with six clean sheets. FK Kauno Zalgiris average 5.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FK Suduva Marijampole have won four, drawn four and lost one. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FK Suduva Marijampole won two, one was drawn and FK Kauno Zalgiris won one. The last time they met, on 9 Sep 2026, it finished FK Suduva Marijampole 1-5 FK Kauno Zalgiris.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: FK Kauno Zalgiris are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour FK Suduva Marijampole. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. FK Suduva Marijampole's record still gives them 38% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. FK Kauno Zalgiris or the draw. A tight game. FK Kauno Zalgiris are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour FK Suduva Marijampole. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 71% on the records (FK Suduva Marijampole: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9; FK Kauno Zalgiris: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 9). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FK Kauno Zalgiris or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Kauno Zalgiris or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Suduva Marijampole 1-1 FK Kauno Zalgiris (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).