Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kuressaare Linnastaadion. The referee is J. Lorenz.
What's at stake. FC Kuressaare are 8th on 35 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Vaprus, 4 points clear of Nõmme United. A win would take them above Vaprus. FCI Levadia Tallinn are 1st on 78 points after 31 games, 23 points clear of Flora Tallinn. FC Kuressaare have nothing left to play for.
Form. FC Kuressaare have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. In this competition FC Kuressaare have gone W W D L L W. FCI Levadia Tallinn have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition FCI Levadia Tallinn have gone W W D W W W.
The numbers. FC Kuressaare score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FCI Levadia Tallinn score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Kuressaare have won none, drawn one and lost nine. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FCI Levadia Tallinn won four. The last time they met, on 9 Sep 2026, it finished FC Kuressaare 0-4 FCI Levadia Tallinn.
The case against. FC Kuressaare's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. FCI Levadia Tallinn to win. An open game. FCI Levadia Tallinn are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FCI Levadia Tallinn; the meetings favour FCI Levadia Tallinn. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 77% on the records (FC Kuressaare: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; FCI Levadia Tallinn: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Kuressaare Under 1.5 goals (FC Kuressaare's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (FCI Levadia Tallinn are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FCI Levadia Tallinn are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Kuressaare 1-2 FCI Levadia Tallinn (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).