Riga FC vs SK Super Nova
Match details. Virsliga, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadions Skonto, Riga.
What's at stake. Riga FC are 2nd on 76 points after 32 games, 4 points behind Rīgas FS, 12 points clear of Auda. SK Super Nova are 6th on 38 points after 32 games, 4 points behind BFC Daugavpils, 6 points clear of FS Jelgava. Riga FC have nothing left to play for. SK Super Nova have nothing left to play for.
Form. Riga FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. In this competition Riga FC have gone W W W D D L. SK Super Nova have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition SK Super Nova have gone L W L L W W.
The numbers. Riga FC score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Riga FC average 5.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game. SK Super Nova score 0.8 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. SK Super Nova average 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Riga FC have won nine, drawn one and lost none. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Riga FC won four. The last time they met, on 15 Sep 2026, it finished Riga FC 1-0 SK Super Nova.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 91% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: Riga FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Riga FC the likelier winners; Riga FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Riga FC; the meetings favour Riga FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 76% on the records (Riga FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; SK Super Nova: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Riga FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Riga FC Over 1.5 Goals (SK Super Nova's own games don't back it (2 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Riga FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Riga FC 2-1 SK Super Nova (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).