El Mansurah vs Al Nasr Cairo
Match details. 2. Division A, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. El Mansurah are 7th on 14 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Itesalat, 1 point clear of AL Nasr SC. A win would take them above Itesalat. Al Nasr Cairo are 8th on 13 points after 8 games, 1 point behind El Mansura, level on points with Tersana. A win would take them above El Mansura.
Form. El Mansurah have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. Al Nasr Cairo have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W.
The numbers. El Mansurah score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. El Mansurah average 7.7 shots (3.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Al Nasr Cairo score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Nasr Cairo average 8.2 shots (3.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 21%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: El Mansurah or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Al Nasr Cairo or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: El Mansurah 1-1 Al Nasr Cairo (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).