PFK Piestany vs Spartak Trnava
Match details. Slovensky Pohar, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Štadión PFK Piešťany.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. PFK Piestany have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition PFK Piestany have gone W L W W W L. Spartak Trnava have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. In this competition Spartak Trnava have gone W W.
The numbers. PFK Piestany score two and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. PFK Piestany average 5.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game. Spartak Trnava score 2.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Spartak Trnava average 10.9 shots (4.7 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 98% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Spartak Trnava are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Spartak Trnava the likelier winners; Spartak Trnava are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Spartak Trnava. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 85%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.15, 85% on the records (PFK Piestany: over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10; Spartak Trnava: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Spartak Trnava Over 1.5 Goals (PFK Piestany's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: PFK Piestany 1-2 Spartak Trnava (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).