Match details. Slovensky Pohar, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Futbalový štadión Spartak Myjava.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Spartak Myjava have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Spartak Myjava have gone W W. MFK Ruzomberok have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. In this competition MFK Ruzomberok have gone W W.
The numbers. Spartak Myjava score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Spartak Myjava average 10.3 shots (4.1 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game. MFK Ruzomberok score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. MFK Ruzomberok average 13.2 shots (4.9 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 16% against the records' 61%.
The read. No firm call: Spartak Myjava are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Spartak Myjava are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Spartak Myjava. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 76% on the records (Spartak Myjava: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; MFK Ruzomberok: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: MFK Ruzomberok or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Spartak Myjava); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Spartak Myjava 2-1 MFK Ruzomberok (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).