Lok. Kosice vs AS Trencin
Match details. Slovensky Pohar, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Štadión Lokomotívy v Čermeli, Košice.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Lok. Kosice have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Lok. Kosice have gone W W. AS Trencin have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. In this competition AS Trencin have gone W W.
The numbers. Lok. Kosice score 2.1 and concede 0.3 a game over their last ten, with eight clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lok. Kosice average 12.5 shots (6.7 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. AS Trencin score 2.3 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. AS Trencin average 11.9 shots (4.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 17% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: Lok. Kosice are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Lok. Kosice the likelier winners; Lok. Kosice are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lok. Kosice. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 77% on the records (Lok. Kosice: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; AS Trencin: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Lok. Kosice 2-1 AS Trencin (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).