Torns IF vs Solvesborgs GoIF

Match details. Division 2, Södra Götaland - 26. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Torns IF are 12th on 21 points after 25 games, 8 points behind Sölvesborg, 3 points clear of Räppe. Solvesborgs GoIF are 11th on 29 points after 25 games, level on points with Lilla Torg, 8 points clear of Torns. A win would take them above Lilla Torg. Torns IF have nothing left to play for. Solvesborgs GoIF have nothing left to play for.

Form. Torns IF have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Solvesborgs GoIF have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.

The numbers. Torns IF score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Torns IF average 3.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Solvesborgs GoIF score 1.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Solvesborgs GoIF average 2.4 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 44% against the records' 68%.

The read. No firm call: Solvesborgs GoIF are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Solvesborgs GoIF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Solvesborgs GoIF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Solvesborgs GoIF or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Torns IF 1-2 Solvesborgs GoIF (9% chance).