Match details. Division 2, Södra Svealand - 26. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Smedby AIS are 7th on 36 points after 25 games, 6 points behind Rågsved, 3 points clear of Fittja. IK Sleipner are 2nd on 48 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Farsta, 2 points clear of Nyköping. A win would take them above Farsta. Smedby AIS have nothing left to play for, while IK Sleipner need the win.
Form. Smedby AIS have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition Smedby AIS have gone L D L L L D. IK Sleipner have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W.
The numbers. Smedby AIS score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Smedby AIS average 4.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. IK Sleipner score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. IK Sleipner average 5.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: IK Sleipner or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or IK Sleipner (no result call); IK Sleipner (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: Smedby AIS 1-2 IK Sleipner (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).