Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes
Match details. Besta deild, Championship Group - 4. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 20:15 Lagos time. It is played at Framvöllur, Reykjavík.
What's at stake. Fram Reykjavik are 2nd on 45 points after 22 games, 8 points behind Vikingur Reykjavik, 1 point clear of KR Reykjavik. IA Akranes are 5th on 30 points after 22 games, level on points with Breidablik, 2 points clear of Keflavik. A win would take them above Breidablik.
Form. Fram Reykjavik have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D. In this competition Fram Reykjavik have gone L D L D D W. IA Akranes have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. In this competition IA Akranes have gone D W L W D D.
The numbers. Fram Reykjavik score 1.5 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. IA Akranes score 2.5 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Fram Reykjavik have won three, drawn three and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Fram Reykjavik won two, one was drawn and IA Akranes won one. The last time they met, on 29 Jun 2026, it finished Fram Reykjavik 2-0 IA Akranes.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. IA Akranes's record still gives them 43% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Fram Reykjavik to win. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Fram Reykjavik are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Fram Reykjavik are a clear winner, no Unders); IA Akranes Under 1.5 goals (IA Akranes's own games don't back it (2 of 10)). Predicted score: Fram Reykjavik 2-1 IA Akranes (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).