Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadium of Light, Sunderland. The referee is Stuart Attwell.
What's at stake. Sunderland AFC are 20th on 4 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Coventry. A win would take them above Coventry. Leeds United are 8th on 10 points after 7 games, level on points with Brentford, level on points with Everton. A win would take them above Brentford.
Team news. Sunderland AFC are without D. Ballard (muscle injury), K. Danso (red card), R. Mundle (knee injury), W. Isidor (injury), T. Meunier (muscle injury), D. Ballard (muscle injury). Leeds United are without M. Joseph (knee injury), J. Rodon (muscle injury), D. Calvert-Lewin (foot injury), N. Okafor (groin injury), A. Stach (groin injury), M. Joseph (knee injury).
Form. Sunderland AFC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. Leeds United have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L.
The numbers. Sunderland AFC score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sunderland AFC average 12.8 shots (4.3 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Leeds United score 1.3 and concede two a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Leeds United average 9.9 shots (3.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sunderland AFC have won three, drawn four and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Sunderland AFC won one, one was drawn and Leeds United won two. The last time they met, on 30 Jul 2026, it finished Sunderland AFC 0-1 Leeds United.
The read. Leeds United or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Leeds United are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 74% on the records (Sunderland AFC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6; Leeds United: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Leeds United or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sunderland AFC 1-1 Leeds United (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).