KDKFD

17:00Wed 14 Oct

KFV

KF Dukagjini vs KF Vushtrria

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. KF Dukagjini are 5th on 13 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Drita, level on points with Ballkani. A win would take them above Drita. KF Vushtrria are 10th on 3 points after 8 games, level on points with Llapi. A win would take them above Llapi.

Form. KF Dukagjini have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. KF Vushtrria have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.

The numbers. KF Dukagjini score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. KF Dukagjini average 10.0 shots (3.0 on target), 2.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game. KF Vushtrria score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. KF Vushtrria average 6.0 shots (3.0 on target), 1.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last three meetings KF Dukagjini have won two, drawn one and lost none. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 22 Jul 2020, it finished KF Dukagjini 2-1 KF Vushtrria.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 87% against the records' 63%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No firm call: KF Dukagjini are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make KF Dukagjini the likelier winners; KF Dukagjini are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KF Dukagjini; the meetings favour KF Dukagjini.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (KF Dukagjini are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (KF Dukagjini are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: KF Dukagjini 1-1 KF Vushtrria (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

KF Dukagjini or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

KFD 5 of 8 (62%) · KFV 7 of 8 (88%)83.9%

KF Dukagjini: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · KF Vushtrria: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · KF Dukagjini: only games against sides at KF Vushtrria's level · KF Vushtrria: only games against sides at KF Dukagjini's level

KF Dukagjini or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KFD 5 of 8 (62%) · KFV 7 of 8 (88%)83.9%

KF Dukagjini or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KFD 6 of 8 (75%) · KFV 8 of 8 (100%)82.1%

KF Dukagjini: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · KF Vushtrria: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 2 of 3 · KF Dukagjini: only games against sides at KF Vushtrria's level · KF Vushtrria: only games against sides at KF Dukagjini's level

KF Dukagjini or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KFD 5 of 8 (62%) · KFV 7 of 8 (88%)77.7%

KF Dukagjini to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 87%

1.15

KFD 3 of 8 (38%) · KFV 7 of 8 (88%)64%

KF Dukagjini won 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · KF Vushtrria lost 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 2 of 3 · KF Dukagjini: only games against sides at KF Vushtrria's level · KF Vushtrria: only games against sides at KF Dukagjini's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KFD 5 of 8 (62%) · KFV 8 of 8 (100%)93.8%

KF Dukagjini: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · KF Vushtrria: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 3 · KF Dukagjini: only games against sides at KF Vushtrria's level · KF Vushtrria: only games against sides at KF Dukagjini's level

KF DUKAGJINI GOALS

KF Dukagjini Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KFD 5 of 8 (62%) · KFV 7 of 8 (88%)85.2%

KF Dukagjini scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · KF Vushtrria conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · KF Dukagjini: only games against sides at KF Vushtrria's level · KF Vushtrria: only games against sides at KF Dukagjini's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (KF Dukagjini are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (KF Dukagjini are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.5%

KF Dukagjini goals →

KF Vushtrria goals ↓

0-08%

1-012%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-17%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

KF DUKAGJINILLDWDWWDLD1.30 PPG

KF VUSHTRRIAWWLLLLLLLW0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KF DUKAGJINI HOMExKF VUSHTRRIA AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME0.801.10CONCEDED A GAME2.1050%CLEAN SHEETS20%38%FAILED TO SCORE50%2.83CORNERS A GAME1.333.17CARDS A GAME3.33

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

KF DUKAGJINI OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.20POINTS A GAME0.50+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.33–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.65LEAGUE GAMES6

KF Dukagjini: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

KF DUKAGJINI OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

KF VUSHTRRIA OR DRAW

30%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

KF DUKAGJINIxKF VUSHTRRIA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.801.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

KF DUKAGJINI 2 · 67%DRAW 1KF VUSHTRRIA 0 · 0%

2 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-10-18KF Dukagjini 1 – 0 KF Vushtrria

2020-03-05KF Dukagjini 3 – 3 KF Vushtrria

2020-07-22KF Dukagjini 2 – 1 KF Vushtrria

TRENDS

KF Dukagjini have scored in 60% of their games.

KF Vushtrria have scored in 60% of their games.

KF Dukagjini kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

KF Vushtrria kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards