Mosta FC vs Gzira United FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola, a neutral ground. The referee is A. Johnson.
What's at stake. Mosta FC are 5th on 11 points after 6 games, level on points with Hamrun Spartans, level on points with Sliema Wanderers. A win would take them above Hamrun Spartans. Gzira United FC are 11th on 2 points after 6 games, 3 points behind Zabbar St. Patrick, 1 point clear of Birzebbuga. A win would take them level on points with Zabbar St. Patrick.
Form. Mosta FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. Gzira United FC have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L.
The numbers. Mosta FC score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Mosta FC average 8.4 shots (3.6 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Gzira United FC score 0.5 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Gzira United FC average 7.9 shots (2.3 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Mosta FC have won one, drawn none and lost seven. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Gzira United FC won four. The last time they met, on 3 Mar 2026, it finished Mosta FC 1-2 Gzira United FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Mosta FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Gzira United FC.
The case against. Gzira United FC's record still gives them 28% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Mosta FC or the draw. A tight game. Mosta FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Gzira United FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 80% on the records (Mosta FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Gzira United FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.39. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Mosta FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Mosta FC 1UP (the signs point different ways); Mosta FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mosta FC 1-1 Gzira United FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).